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BlueWaveNeverEnd

(14,326 posts)
Wed Apr 1, 2026, 01:14 PM Wednesday

Study: Ending Birthright Citizenship Would Backfire, With Asian Immigrants Hit Hardest [View all]

https://studyfinds.com/birthright-citizenship-ban-would-backfire/

In A Nutshell

Ending birthright citizenship would expand the unauthorized population by up to 6.4 million U.S.-born children by 2050, the opposite of its stated goal.

Latino immigrants would bear the largest raw impact, accounting for nearly 80% of unauthorized births in the short term.

Asian immigrants face the steepest relative impact, projected at 41 unauthorized births per 1,000 unauthorized residents, more than double the rate for Latinos.

The order targets children of temporary visa holders like H-1B workers and students, not just undocumented immigrants, which drives the disproportionate impact on Asian communities.


Latinos, who make up the largest share of today’s unauthorized population, would account for roughly 78% of unauthorized births in the short term and more than 90% of unauthorized U.S.-born residents by 2050. Higher birth rates and lower rates of return migration mean their U.S.-born children are more likely to stay. By midcentury, the unauthorized Latino population is projected to be 29% larger than it would be under current law.

Trump framed the order partly around so-called “birth tourism,” in which foreign nationals travel to the U.S. specifically to give birth. Fewer than 9,000 foreign pregnant visitors make that trip each year, representing about 1% of all births to foreign-born parents. The populations who would actually absorb the weight of this policy are vastly larger and far more embedded in American life.
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