We just fucking cannibalize each other fucking ourselves over and over.

[question everything]

181. Analyzing how Bernie Sanders supporters voted in the 2016 General Election by Brian Schaffner, Tufts University

https://sites.google.com/view/brianfschaffner/reports/how-sanders-supporters-behaved-in-the-2016-general-election

A detailed analysis with a lot of statistical reports.

Here is what I picked

In 2016, Bernie Sanders narrowly lost a closely contested Democratic presidential nomination to Hillary Clinton. As often happens after a close nomination race, there was much speculation about whether Bernie Sanders supporters would either not turn out or would even choose to vote for Donald Trump in November. Here I use the 2016 Cooperative Congressional Election Study (CCES) to investigate what Sanders’ supporters actually did in the general election. The CCES is ideal for such an analysis because (1) it is a large survey that provides a sufficient sample size for such an analysis and (2) respondents are matched to voter file records so that we can identify who actually voted in the primaries and general elections.

I begin by opening the data and setting the appropriate weights in Stata. This dataset can be downloaded from the CCES dataverse at this url: https://dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtml?persistentId=doi%3A10.7910/DVN/GDF6Z0

Now let’s graph the percentage of Sanders’s voters voted for Trump, Clinton, some other candidate, or did not turn out in November 2016. I also tabulate the data to show the proportions clearly for each group. About 12% of Sanders voters cast a vote for Trump in the November general election.

Let’s turn to understanding a bit more about these Sanders supporters. First, how does this relate to partisanship. Here I show the partisan breakdown of Sanders’s supporters based on how they voted in the 2016 general election. Notably, Sanders voters who then voted for Trump were much more likely to identify as independents or Republicans compared to those who voted for Clinton. Thus, many of these individuals were already somewhat detached from the Democratic Party.