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McCamy Taylor

(19,240 posts)
55. It is zip. In 1976, Ford ran on a stealth campaign of "Carter will take us to war because Dems
Sun Jan 29, 2012, 07:05 PM
Jan 2012

ALWAYS take us to war." I remember a Republican trying to sell me this line. Looks like it is still being peddled.

If Obama is in the Whiet House, Israel will lose money if they attack Iran. They know it, so they will sit tight until another Big Oil president is in the White House. Newt, who is the Big Oil candidate who survived out of all the other Big Oil candidates (they ran multiples including Cain and Perry), will almost certainly encourage Israel to launch a first strike. At the very least, this would benefit the Koch Brothers oil speculation racket. And it will drive up oil prices, making Exxon and all lots of money and giving Newt a "reason" to build the Keystone pipeline and drill off the coast of Florida.

Suspect that Romney, who is the candidate of the banks and insurance industry might not encourage Israel to launch a first strike. However, if he needs to get some oil Congressmen on his side for something that benefits the banks, he would probably look the other way if a first strike is launched.

Who would have guessed that we would witness a Republican presidential primary pitting the Banksters vs. Big Oil? Hope they use up all their money in the primary fighting each other.

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Hopefully it is much less likely. Kalidurga Jan 2012 #1
That's not correct RZM Jan 2012 #6
I am not sure the Israelis have the ability to accomplish the objective BrentWil Jan 2012 #11
Hmm. Maybe. RZM Jan 2012 #13
We can't and won't do anything with Israel on this besides let them do it alone BrentWil Jan 2012 #15
Very, very low RZM Jan 2012 #2
Pretty close to zero unless Iran does something really fucking stupid. HopeHoops Jan 2012 #3
Or, unless Israel does something really fucking stupid. Tierra_y_Libertad Jan 2012 #7
Sunni Arab states are the ones that will also have a problem with this. NT BrentWil Jan 2012 #16
Both are reliant on U.S. support and would draw us into the conflict. Tierra_y_Libertad Jan 2012 #21
We're already "in it" - the shrub destabilized the region by invading Iraq. HopeHoops Jan 2012 #29
Certainly... the most pressing concern of any leader is to keep power BrentWil Jan 2012 #31
I suspect they already have some and that other countries (like ours) already know it. HopeHoops Jan 2012 #37
I am a little more hopeful BrentWil Jan 2012 #39
I'm more concerned with the devices than individual people. HopeHoops Jan 2012 #45
Stupid as in.. Hawkowl Jan 2012 #41
I was thinking more along the lines of firing on one of the two carriers we have in the region. HopeHoops Jan 2012 #46
Less likely than if a repug were elected, elleng Jan 2012 #4
I would agree with that... NT BrentWil Jan 2012 #9
Guessing they will impose sanctions for 5 to 10 years first to soften the target before invading. limpyhobbler Jan 2012 #5
'Soften the target'. You mean 'kill a few hundred thousand innocent children for not good reason'. sabrina 1 Jan 2012 #17
well said limpyhobbler Jan 2012 #22
I think you have a rather unrealistic view of how our system works BrentWil Jan 2012 #25
It's not conspiratorial cpwm17 Jan 2012 #32
They certainly have influence BrentWil Jan 2012 #34
Your argument holds no water Hawkowl Jan 2012 #43
The Iraq war was the product BrentWil Jan 2012 #60
MIC Put those people in power Hawkowl Jan 2012 #70
It was a part of it.. BrentWil Jan 2012 #73
Do I? sabrina 1 Jan 2012 #50
Yeah, totally... BrentWil Jan 2012 #52
+ a brazillion. nt raouldukelives Jan 2012 #26
The Middle East is too unstable for sanctions to last even more than two years, the Iranian... joshcryer Jan 2012 #63
Iran will have to throw the first punch. Rex Jan 2012 #8
Or "Iran" will have to throw the first punch. stillwaiting Jan 2012 #23
Well, ProSense Jan 2012 #10
I disagree with how you make meaning of those statements... BrentWil Jan 2012 #19
Well, ProSense Jan 2012 #24
Is a weatherman who is tracking a Hurricane wishing for death and destruction? BrentWil Jan 2012 #27
No ProSense Jan 2012 #28
A hurricane could follow a path that could keep it off shore... BrentWil Jan 2012 #30
You ProSense Jan 2012 #33
Again, you have to think what you want BrentWil Jan 2012 #36
It's not really up to President Obama, it's up to the Israelis Cali_Democrat Jan 2012 #12
Actually, it is more up to the Sunni Arab states, IMO BrentWil Jan 2012 #14
It's more likely that that Israelis will launch a strike than the Arabs, IMO Cali_Democrat Jan 2012 #18
I doubt that. BrentWil Jan 2012 #20
The Arab Spring started in Iran. It's up to the Iranians. joshcryer Jan 2012 #64
Obama 12% Republican 30% cthulu2016 Jan 2012 #35
i'd say, it's more like at least 30% Obama to 40%+ Republican inna Jan 2012 #44
LOL, war with Iran is always 6 months away, and will be 6 months from now. Odin2005 Jan 2012 #38
If it happens, the real pull would be after this cycle or after 2014.. BrentWil Jan 2012 #40
and i'm sick of people being willfully ignorant, blind and oblivious of a definite possibility inna Jan 2012 #42
Not my fault that people keep crying wolf. Odin2005 Jan 2012 #47
Banging the drums isn't exactly the same as crying wolf and neither is the response TheKentuckian Jan 2012 #59
A flull-blown action? I think those chances are slim to none, but... MerryBlooms Jan 2012 #48
I trust the president more than any of the repugs bhikkhu Jan 2012 #49
Fullscale war with Iran's been days away for ten years now around here. (nt) Posteritatis Jan 2012 #51
Pretty much. DU People used to tell me Kerry would invade Iran and bring back the draft. emulatorloo Jan 2012 #53
Between the Chimp & Obama admins, nothing has changed in regard to Iran policy got root Jan 2012 #54
It is zip. In 1976, Ford ran on a stealth campaign of "Carter will take us to war because Dems McCamy Taylor Jan 2012 #55
I don't think anyone is suggesting that the GOP would be a better choice to keep us out of Iran NT BrentWil Jan 2012 #56
Silly me. I thought that was the whole point here. McCamy Taylor Jan 2012 #57
Actually, it isn't. But if reading things into it makes you feel better, so be it NT BrentWil Jan 2012 #58
What people aren't considering here is the effect of the Arab Spring on the Middle East. joshcryer Jan 2012 #62
Well, it wouldn't be a "Arab" spring.. BrentWil Jan 2012 #65
You're much more favorable than me, I put it at closer to 40%. A Republican? 100%. joshcryer Jan 2012 #61
Iran is on the brink of its own volition JCMach1 Jan 2012 #66
Maybe... BrentWil Jan 2012 #68
Exactly. joshcryer Jan 2012 #69
Pres Obama 75%. Gingrich 100%. Ron Paul 15%. Prometheus Bound Jan 2012 #67
Likely. But the possibility of an Iran confrontation with a Republican is also likely. BlueIris Jan 2012 #71
Depends largely on what Iran does Prophet 451 Jan 2012 #72
Ahmandinajad doesn't run the country and has very little power within the country NT BrentWil Jan 2012 #74
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