270 Electoral Votes [View all]

[greiner3]

Using NBC's take on what states are what I think there will be a decent road trip to re-election.

NBC has 196 in the Democratic side and 195 in the Republican. That leaves 147, at least according to them, in the leaning category. Those states are;

OH, PA, MI, IA, WI, VA, NC, FL, NM, CO and NV

My take is that we need to win FL, WI, PA and MI. This would give us FL with 29 Electoral votes, WI with 10, PA with 20 and MI with 16 votes. This total is 75 and added to the 196 is 271

OK, that's enough smilies.

Now, I think NV and FL will be easy targets for several reasons; Mitt's announcement that he would let underwater mortgages run their 'natural' course and be foreclosed. Secondly, with a high Latino vote, Mitt's immigration stance will bring this voting block out in good numbers. There was a third reason but my cats distracted me.

WI, in my opinion, should be a shoe in for the Koch Brothers/recall election turnout. Nuf said.

MI will be a good play for Mitt's announcement that it was not a good thing to bail out the auto industry.

As for PA I think that the economy will improve just enough that a good number of independents will end up voting Democratic.

I think VA could be added to this list. Their state government sucks and has a pretty low approval. This will bring out the vote.



If the economy improves more and more I think Obama's chances will bring in IA, NC, CO.

I leave out OH just because I live here, just send flowers as condolence, and I don't trust these voters. With that said, a lot of people really DON'T like Kasich and the way the Republican led congress critterdom has been passing laws.

There are a lot of ways Obama can get to 270 but I think the 4 I first listed could be the 'easiest' way for this to occur.