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gopiscrap

(24,733 posts)

17. I don't see us winning Indiana again

Reply to BlueDemKev (Reply #13)

Tue Jan 31, 2012, 06:49 PM

Jan 2012

VA possible, NC maybe and FL is the big if! IMHO

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270 Electoral Votes [View all] greiner3 Jan 2012 OP

Guessing Ohio is probably going to go for Obama. Everybody was pretty geared up to overturn SB5. limpyhobbler Jan 2012 #1

Ohio will be easier than VA imo. McDonnell (R Gov) is relatively popular still. yellowcanine Jan 2012 #21

Shoo-in deaniac21 Jan 2012 #2

Thank you. Beat me to it. trof Feb 2012 #63

All the swing states are blue surfdog Jan 2012 #3

NM was solid blue in 2008. It will be solid blue in 2012. Same for CO. LonePirate Jan 2012 #5

Colorado was blue in 2010, too. Colorado is a blue state now. joshcryer Feb 2012 #52

Not exactly Proud Public Servant Jan 2012 #9

Different take Proud Public Servant Jan 2012 #4

Here's my calculation.... BlueDemKev Jan 2012 #13

I don't see us winning Indiana again gopiscrap Jan 2012 #17

I think IN and VA are out of reach this year..... BlueDemKev Jan 2012 #24

I don't think you have to worry about Illinois surfdog Feb 2012 #37

I know, I was giving you a complete itemized listing of how can reach 270 EV's BlueDemKev Feb 2012 #42

It all will come down to NE-01 Bok_Tukalo Jan 2012 #6

IIRC, after last time, the unicam re-bundled our EVs. OmahaBlueDog Feb 2012 #53

Florida is so critical, can't help thinking it will influence the VP choice (nt) Nye Bevan Jan 2012 #7

Yeah, and if/when Marco Rubio is selected as Romney's running mate..... BlueDemKev Jan 2012 #10

The birther will have a two fold problem with a Romney/Rubio tickeet LostinRed Feb 2012 #27

I don't think we'll get Florida this year BlueDemKev Jan 2012 #8

Obama won FL by 240,000 votes and by 2.8%. LonePirate Jan 2012 #11

My mistake. BlueDemKev Jan 2012 #15

One thing to consider - Gov. Rick Scott is wildly unpopular OmahaBlueDog Feb 2012 #54

The problem with Florida is..... BlueDemKev Feb 2012 #60

Yep, and FL Hispanics aren't southwest Hispanics. trof Feb 2012 #64

I think Obama has many paths, the GOP, far fewer paths. JoePhilly Jan 2012 #12

Michigan, against Mitt Romney, will be a lot harder to win than you think. n/m jpljr77 Jan 2012 #14

That's true, however..... BlueDemKev Jan 2012 #16

I'm afraid of that too. Motown_Johnny Jan 2012 #18

Older people... blue_onyx Jan 2012 #23

Why? blue_onyx Jan 2012 #22

He has little to no association with the state anymore fujiyama Feb 2012 #28

Well, he won Michigan in the 2008 primary jpljr77 Feb 2012 #35

No... blue_onyx Feb 2012 #40

I agree. Anyone I've spoke with who is conservative-leaning isn't enthused about Romney. Denninmi Feb 2012 #36

I disagree - saving the Auto Ind SaintPete Jan 2012 #25

PA will be very tough. Teabaggers are all over W. PA. This state put in a teabagger senator and AlinPA Jan 2012 #19

Of course it is not 2010. PA is more blue in Presidential elections than off year. yellowcanine Jan 2012 #20

Penn 1988 was one of the worst calls ever Yupster Feb 2012 #39

PA hasn't gone repuke for Prez since 1988. n/t BumRushDaShow Feb 2012 #34

I would think that there are a great many issues PRETZEL Feb 2012 #47

Michigan and Pennsylvania are looking good for Obama. Dawson Leery Jan 2012 #26

This year will feature many of the same swing states as the last few years fujiyama Feb 2012 #29

You call Wisconsin a lock, but discount Ohio???? ... Scuba Feb 2012 #30

If WI isn't a lock Obamacare Feb 2012 #31

Wisconsin is NEVER a lock, but.... BlueDemKev Feb 2012 #62

My three ways he wins SoCalDem Feb 2012 #32

He'll win a Clinton - Dole style victory. Eid Ma Clack Shaw Feb 2012 #33

Unlikely to be that level Proud Public Servant Feb 2012 #38

Election Quiz Yupster Feb 2012 #41

Ooo, great question! Proud Public Servant Feb 2012 #43

Good guesses Yupster Feb 2012 #44

Well, Wilson is one of them in 1916 and I'm not sure, but maybe Clinton in 1996? WI_DEM Feb 2012 #46

The other one (spoiler) Proud Public Servant Feb 2012 #48

Very good Yupster Feb 2012 #51

Huh. Then there are actually 3. Proud Public Servant Feb 2012 #58

Uh oh Yupster Feb 2012 #61

Actually Obama has a good chance to win NC and VA--polls have always showed this WI_DEM Feb 2012 #45

True, except for the McDonnell factor Proud Public Servant Feb 2012 #50

Pa will easily go for Obama LynneSin Feb 2012 #49

300 to 370 EV for Obama rufus dog Feb 2012 #55

I have it 276-262 OmahaBlueDog Feb 2012 #56

Florida will not be "easy". DCBob Feb 2012 #57

MSNBC is hedging like they did in 08. They don't want to admit we're further ahead than we are. craigmatic Feb 2012 #59