General Discussion

blue_onyx

(4,211 posts)

22. Why?

Tue Jan 31, 2012, 07:54 PM

Jan 2012

Most people don't even remember his father was governor. Anyone who did vote for his father is 67 or older.

I find this argument about Romney being strong in MI annoying. He hasn't lived here in over 40 years. His mother lost in the race for the US Senate in 1970. His former sister in law lost the GOP nomination for the US Senate in 1994 and lost to Levin in 1996. Mitt's brother wasn't able to get the GOP nomination for Attorney General in 1998. Not sure why people think the Romney name is so strong in MI

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270 Electoral Votes [View all] greiner3 Jan 2012 OP

Guessing Ohio is probably going to go for Obama. Everybody was pretty geared up to overturn SB5. limpyhobbler Jan 2012 #1

Ohio will be easier than VA imo. McDonnell (R Gov) is relatively popular still. yellowcanine Jan 2012 #21

Shoo-in deaniac21 Jan 2012 #2

Thank you. Beat me to it. trof Feb 2012 #63

All the swing states are blue surfdog Jan 2012 #3

NM was solid blue in 2008. It will be solid blue in 2012. Same for CO. LonePirate Jan 2012 #5

Colorado was blue in 2010, too. Colorado is a blue state now. joshcryer Feb 2012 #52

Not exactly Proud Public Servant Jan 2012 #9

Different take Proud Public Servant Jan 2012 #4

Here's my calculation.... BlueDemKev Jan 2012 #13

I don't see us winning Indiana again gopiscrap Jan 2012 #17

I think IN and VA are out of reach this year..... BlueDemKev Jan 2012 #24

I don't think you have to worry about Illinois surfdog Feb 2012 #37

I know, I was giving you a complete itemized listing of how can reach 270 EV's BlueDemKev Feb 2012 #42

It all will come down to NE-01 Bok_Tukalo Jan 2012 #6

IIRC, after last time, the unicam re-bundled our EVs. OmahaBlueDog Feb 2012 #53

Florida is so critical, can't help thinking it will influence the VP choice (nt) Nye Bevan Jan 2012 #7

Yeah, and if/when Marco Rubio is selected as Romney's running mate..... BlueDemKev Jan 2012 #10

The birther will have a two fold problem with a Romney/Rubio tickeet LostinRed Feb 2012 #27

I don't think we'll get Florida this year BlueDemKev Jan 2012 #8

Obama won FL by 240,000 votes and by 2.8%. LonePirate Jan 2012 #11

My mistake. BlueDemKev Jan 2012 #15

One thing to consider - Gov. Rick Scott is wildly unpopular OmahaBlueDog Feb 2012 #54

The problem with Florida is..... BlueDemKev Feb 2012 #60

Yep, and FL Hispanics aren't southwest Hispanics. trof Feb 2012 #64

I think Obama has many paths, the GOP, far fewer paths. JoePhilly Jan 2012 #12

Michigan, against Mitt Romney, will be a lot harder to win than you think. n/m jpljr77 Jan 2012 #14

That's true, however..... BlueDemKev Jan 2012 #16

I'm afraid of that too. Motown_Johnny Jan 2012 #18

Older people... blue_onyx Jan 2012 #23

Why? blue_onyx Jan 2012 #22

He has little to no association with the state anymore fujiyama Feb 2012 #28

Well, he won Michigan in the 2008 primary jpljr77 Feb 2012 #35

No... blue_onyx Feb 2012 #40

I agree. Anyone I've spoke with who is conservative-leaning isn't enthused about Romney. Denninmi Feb 2012 #36

I disagree - saving the Auto Ind SaintPete Jan 2012 #25

PA will be very tough. Teabaggers are all over W. PA. This state put in a teabagger senator and AlinPA Jan 2012 #19

Of course it is not 2010. PA is more blue in Presidential elections than off year. yellowcanine Jan 2012 #20

Penn 1988 was one of the worst calls ever Yupster Feb 2012 #39

PA hasn't gone repuke for Prez since 1988. n/t BumRushDaShow Feb 2012 #34

I would think that there are a great many issues PRETZEL Feb 2012 #47

Michigan and Pennsylvania are looking good for Obama. Dawson Leery Jan 2012 #26

This year will feature many of the same swing states as the last few years fujiyama Feb 2012 #29

You call Wisconsin a lock, but discount Ohio???? ... Scuba Feb 2012 #30

If WI isn't a lock Obamacare Feb 2012 #31

Wisconsin is NEVER a lock, but.... BlueDemKev Feb 2012 #62

My three ways he wins SoCalDem Feb 2012 #32

He'll win a Clinton - Dole style victory. Eid Ma Clack Shaw Feb 2012 #33

Unlikely to be that level Proud Public Servant Feb 2012 #38

Election Quiz Yupster Feb 2012 #41

Ooo, great question! Proud Public Servant Feb 2012 #43

Good guesses Yupster Feb 2012 #44

Well, Wilson is one of them in 1916 and I'm not sure, but maybe Clinton in 1996? WI_DEM Feb 2012 #46

The other one (spoiler) Proud Public Servant Feb 2012 #48

Very good Yupster Feb 2012 #51

Huh. Then there are actually 3. Proud Public Servant Feb 2012 #58

Uh oh Yupster Feb 2012 #61

Actually Obama has a good chance to win NC and VA--polls have always showed this WI_DEM Feb 2012 #45

True, except for the McDonnell factor Proud Public Servant Feb 2012 #50

Pa will easily go for Obama LynneSin Feb 2012 #49

300 to 370 EV for Obama rufus dog Feb 2012 #55

I have it 276-262 OmahaBlueDog Feb 2012 #56

Florida will not be "easy". DCBob Feb 2012 #57

MSNBC is hedging like they did in 08. They don't want to admit we're further ahead than we are. craigmatic Feb 2012 #59