270 Electoral Votes

[fujiyama]

29. This year will feature many of the same swing states as the last few years

Unfortunately, I don't see anymore red states up for grabs really - and Obama's path is much narrower than last time. This election may be about just 3 or 4 states in the end.

The real swing states will be: FL, OH, NC, VA, NV, and NH. NV has a considerable Mormon population and Romney spends a lot of time in NH. VA and NC will be much tougher this time though I think Obama will be spending a lot of resources in both states. He likely has a better shot in VA than NC.

Indiana is gone and forget fantasy states like GA. They're not going to flip.

I think CO and NM lean Dem but they are vital to what I would call a western firewall. I'd add NV, but it'll be tougher than NM. I'd be really surprised if any of the other Kerry/Gore states were lost. OH should be easier than FL this time.