General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Pissed at President Obama? Feel Like Skipping 2014? [View all]bobclark86
(1,415 posts)and 20 months out, I know they're fucked. A boilerplate Dem can't win in this district (they've tried for 30 years now, and got their asses kicked each and every time... occasionally by 30 points).
You need something that at least a few center-right independents can sign on to in some way. With some of the most conservative counties in the state, you need to do more than just show up with party talking points and expect to win anything at all.
Unless somebody really special comes in, Tom Reed doesn't even need to campaign... again.
Get me Shawn Hogan (longest-tenured city mayor in New York... but I don't think Shawn will want to deal with that bullcrap with his sweet gig in Hornell), or pretty much anyone other than ANOTHER bloody Tompkins County legislator. We tried that last time, and with a piss-poor campaign (we're talking dead silence after the primary -- literally months between press releases) and the perceived Ithaca ivory tower mentality that nobody else can stand, we wound up winning only one of 10 counties (losing Tompkins would have just been embarrassing...).
Wake me up when my party is serious about a win in my district. With no Senate races, I could not honestly care less...
Signed,
--A Very Bored Dem in NY-23.