General Discussion

jsmirman

(4,507 posts)

6. Not necessarily correct

Tue Feb 7, 2012, 03:17 PM

Feb 2012

you never know what happens over the course of four years, but the essential division looks like this -

Young Justices:
Roberts
Alito
Kagan
Sotomayor

Everyone else:
Kennedy - 75
Thomas - 63 (and dangerously unhealthy)
Scalia - 75
RBG - 78
Breyer - 73

Odds are definitely in favor of the four to eight years following the upcoming term as being the time for the highest turnover, but no one in the latter group of five is a sure bet to stay on the bench until 2016.

The one who should really step down to "enjoy retirement" - and he has enough "curiosity" that I'm sure another "adventure" awaits him - is Kennedy. That way he doesn't have to do any of the overturning, but if we can win in November, he could clear the way for a new court to overturn all the crappy decisions he's written.

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Why Obama�s Super PAC Decision Is The Best Way To Fight Citizens United [View all] WilliamPitt Feb 2012 OP

K&R. I support this wholeheartedly. nt gateley Feb 2012 #1

President Obama will only be able to keep the SCOTUS status quo in his second term. onehandle Feb 2012 #2

Not necessarily correct jsmirman Feb 2012 #6

Hard to believe bongbong Feb 2012 #8

No, you are not exaggerating jsmirman Feb 2012 #15

Yes bongbong Feb 2012 #17

I suspect Ruth Ginsberg will retire this summer. GoCubsGo Feb 2012 #13

I tend to agree Sheepshank Feb 2012 #18

I agree with POTUS musiclawyer Feb 2012 #3

Exactly how I would put it - I won't begrudge him this jsmirman Feb 2012 #5

Exactly. There's a big difference between principle and unilateral disarmament. TheWraith Feb 2012 #7

Beat them at their own game and expose their shallowness. Then watch them WHINE. FarLeftFist Feb 2012 #4

Grudging agreement here. bullwinkle428 Feb 2012 #9

K&R (nt) fascisthunter Feb 2012 #10

K&R SalviaBlue Feb 2012 #11

Adelson's contributions to Gingrich's campaign will help Obama. hughee99 Feb 2012 #12

I don't know, I'm kind of split on this decision. Major Hogwash Feb 2012 #14

They are really relevant jsmirman Feb 2012 #16

K & R Scurrilous Feb 2012 #19

I'm one of those who thinks he would have raised enough anyway. mmonk Feb 2012 #20