Iran's Arsenal Of Sunburn Missiles Is More Than Enough To Close The Strait

[Old and In the Way]

8. The Straits are 25 miles wide and the center channel is about 12 miles from Iran...

a Sunburn can cover that distance in about 15 seconds. Perhaps we could target, lock, and kill a few...but hundreds would certainly spell catastrophe for the USN fleet. Our Navy is built on deep water and large area domination. Fighting in a puddle against these types of weapons is not what the planners were gaming out over the past 50 years. That said, it would invariably be a classic "win the battle, lose the war" strategy for Iran. After the initial blow from a surprise attack....the blowback would be swift and beyond devastating for Iran. Think of Pearl Harbor with the surrender playing out in less than a week. That's why I doubt Iran will purposely initiate any attack, no matter the chances of immediate success. There's no chance that it can expect any possible longterm "win" in undertaking such a strike.

But what does scare the shit out of me is the crazy individual down the command chain, on either side, who could initiate a 1st strike. The reaction times become non-existent to sort things out on a diplomatic basis. I'm afraid if one goes...they all go before anyone has a chance to say, "hey wait, lets think things through here."