From wiki: this is over-the-top b.s. from him. I used to give his opinion some weight. No more.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charlie_Cook
In 1984, he founded the newsletter The Cook Political Report,[2] which publishes analysis of the primaries and general elections for federal political offices and state governorships. The Report's predictions are accorded high credibility among journalists and politicians.[3] CBS News' Bob Schieffer called the Cook Political Report, the bible of the political community.
The New York Times has called Cook one of the best political handicappers in the nation and has said the Cook Political Report is a newsletter which both parties regard as authoritative. The late David Broder wrote in The Washington Post that Cook was perhaps the best non-partisan tracker of Congressional races.
Prior to founding his newsletter in 1984, Cook worked on Capitol Hill for then-Senator J. Bennett Johnston, Jr., a Democrat from Shreveport who served from 1972 to 1997. Cook also worked for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, and the Democratic Policy Committee. In addition, he worked as a pollster and campaign consultant and on the staff of BUILD-PAC, the political action committee of the trade association, the National Association of Home Builders.[4]
In 2006, Cook was inducted into the Louisiana Political Museum and Hall of Fame in Winnfield.[5]
In 2010, he won the prestigious Carey McWilliams award from the American Political Science Association. The award is given annually to honor a major journalistic contribution to our understanding of politics.
In 2013, he served as a Resident Fellow at the Harvard Institute of Politics.[6]