Thank goodness the big storm bypassed

[Kali]

22. it's hot and dry here

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
930 AM MST FRI MAY 31 2013

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BRING DRY CONDITIONS WITH WELL
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...THE SHALLOW MOISTURE THAT WAS AROUND YESTERDAY MORNING
MADE A RETURN LAST NIGHT INTO THIS MORNING...WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS
HIGHER THEN YESTERDAY. ALMOST MONSOON LIKE FROM TUCSON WEST. THIS
MOISTURE ALSO BROUGHT A HAZY SKY TO THE AREA THIS MORNING ALONG WITH
WARMER OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES.

THE MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE OF THE DAY SURROUNDS THE THIRD ATTEMPT
THIS MONTH FOR HITTING 100 DEGREES AT THE TUCSON AIRPORT FOR THE
FIRST TIME IN 2013. 850-700 MB THICKNESS VALUES ON THE MORNING
SOUNDING WERE UP VERSUS YESTERDAY AND IF YOU ADD THAT INCREASE TO
YESTERDAY AFTERNOON 850-700 MB TKNS VALUE...99 IS PRETTY CERTAIN
WITH AN OUTSIDE CHANCE FOR 100. BASED ON 850-700 MB THICKNESS VALUES
FOR THIS AFTERNOON 12Z NAM/12Z GFS GOING 98 OR 99...00Z ECMWF/12Z
UKMET/12Z CANADIAN INDICATING 100. 14Z HRRR/15Z RAP GOING WITH 99.
HOW MUCH OF THIS SHALLOW MOISTURE MIXES OUT WILL ALSO BE A KEY
TODAY. OTHERWISE ACROSS SE AZ...HIGHS WILL BE 1-4 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL. MAY SEE SOME FLAT CU AROUND THIS AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY EAST
OF TUCSON AND UP IN THE WHITES.

&&

.AVIATION...SKC THRU SATURDAY MORNING OR 01/15Z. SURFACE WIND
THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING WLY/NWLY 10-18 KTS WITH GUSTS
OF 20-25 KTS... STRONGEST WIND EAST OF KTUS. OTHERWISE...SURFACE
WIND LESS THAN 10 KTS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF
AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRY CONDITIONS WITH WELL ABOVE NORMAL DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. DAYTIME
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS
TO LOWER TEENS WITH FAIR TO POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES. NORMAL
DIURNAL WIND TRENDS WILL OCCUR...WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS DUE TO STRONG DAYTIME HEATING.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

hosts, juries, and concerned alerters: this is from http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=TWC&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1





oh wait, was I supposed to start a new OP?