General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Rare Weather Pattern over US — Moving East to West [View all]AverageJoe90
(10,745 posts)There's no chance of us dying out, not thanks to just AGW alone, anyway....Contrary to the insistence of some. Even a mass sudden/short-term partial die-off is extremely unlikely(honestly, Apophis hitting the Earth in 2036 is more likely!).
Overpopulation may indeed be a problem, I guess that may be true, but just the number of humans living now is far from the only factor to consider; sanitation, economic corruption, and advancement in certain areas of technology, etc., all need to be considered.
With that said, I do believe that it's likely that we will hit a plateau sometime during this century, and China & India will probably see the most notable declines. I am concerned that famine & disease may in fact play a role, not just in China & India, but the Third World as well, particularly in countries such as Vietnam, Thailand, Nigeria, etc. But this decline will likely be quite slow and play out incrementally over many decades.....not exactly what I'd call a "mass die-off", TBH.
Climate change is a problem, and will likely continue to be an issue for the next couple of centuries until things stabilize. However, though, it's important to realize that very few, if any of the worst-case scenarios, apart from Arctic ice melt(And even in the case of the Arctic, we could easily have avoided the collapses of both 2007 & 2012 for a while), have come to pass. In fact, Co2 sensitivity isn't as high as we first thought, either, neither is the amount of methane in immediate(within 100 years in this case) danger of being released(in fact, more recent studies are saying that the sooner we act, the less methane to worry about).....it also turns out that paleo-climate data wasn't exactly a perfect yardstick for measuring possible future climate change, either(not even close, in fact, as far as sensitivity is concerned).
So while we've got a long road ahead, we're not exactly doomed, either, and we have still been making some progress. Really, the best thing for us to do, is keep our heads clear as much as possible, and keep looking forward.