General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Did I just stop by DU and find people PUSHING for war against Syria? [View all]leveymg
(36,418 posts)If the US has real-time intelligence (intercepted orders to use chemical weapons) we'd be complicit in their actual use,and probably wouldn't be willing to give away the capability to decypher the Russian communications equipment the regime is using.
Absent such an intercept, or HUMINT (someone coming forward with a credible proof of such an order being given) nobody is going to be able to prove who fired those rounds, or intentionally substituted the ordinance.
Without proof, there can be no finding. The best we can probably hope for is a determination based upon motive and opportunity. In other words - who benefits? On that basis, the odds strongly point to the opposition (or their advisors) as the culprits.
You're right - this is no small thing, but it was carefully thought out.
It would have been insane for the regime to do this. It's a total lose-lose for them.