Who Will Be The Republicant Sacrificial Lamb, Errrr, Presidential Nominee In 2016?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

18. The thing is the Democrats have been doing about as well among these groups, give or take a little

The thing is the Democrats have been doing about as well among these groups, give or take a little, since at least 1984 so it's no transient phenomenon. That's a tangible sample. The huge difference is these groups have become a much larger share of the electorate.

My favorite example is if Reagan and Mondale got the same percentage of voters by race as they did in 1984 and they comprised the same percentages of the electorate as in 2012 instead of a Reagan 59-41% 49 state landslide he wins 52-48% with a lot less than forty nine states. One of the biggest landslides of the twentieth century becomes a competitive race,

Throw in the fact the Democrats have won the popular vote in five of six of the past presidential elections and there's much to feel confident about.

And I don't think putting a Latina or Latino on the ticket or having a Latino or Latina as a spouse is going to sway Latino and Latina voters. Putting Sarah Palin on the ticket in 2008 certainly didn't solve John McCain's gender problem.