General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Hunter: Obama could be impeached if he strikes Syria without authorization [View all]DevonRex
(22,541 posts)How have you been? I wish I knew what else they have in those classified briefings. To be a fly on the wall.
I'm really, really good at seeing the entire foreign policy picture. The domino effect. But knowing which domino is going to fall first is the important thing. And at which intersections intervention could happen.
In the Admin's view a domino is ready to fall that will start a sequence that will be bad for us and the Syrian people and our allies.
My best informed guess (I've been studying this until I'm blind) is that it benefits Russia, Syria with Assad in charge along with an agreement with the AQ rebel forces, and Iran.
The CW have driven so much of the population out of Syria that a vacuum is left for extremists. The AQ rebels, even though they are few in number, have begun assassinating FSA leaders.
The Obama Administration wants to stop the use of CW so that no more of the population will be killed or forced to flee. They don't want Syria to be turned into a ghost land ripe for extremists to populate under the protection of Assad and Putin.
They also don't want Russia to keep arming countries like Syria and Iran with CW or, in the case of Iran, even worse. In fact, it would probably be a Russian nuclear facility in Iran, rather like Cuba. (You might want to research recent Russian ventures in Cuba and Vietnam.)
That's just the very beginning of the scenario. Most people just talk about Syria. But it's
Russia. United States
Syria. United Kingdom
Iran. Israel
Terrorists. Saudi Arabia
North Korea. South Korea
China Japan
etc, etc.