General Discussion

Uncle Joe

(64,582 posts)

11. The way I see it there are only four alternative scenarios.

Wed Sep 18, 2013, 08:13 PM

Sep 2013

1. Assad winning the war and staying in power.

2. Al Qaida and/or the hard-line Islamists coming to power.

3. The relatively moderate Syrians getting the upper hand.

4. Some sort of power sharing agreement between the parties, Al Qaida excluded. But if that happens I don't see any lasting chance of an Islamist and moderate/secularist government lasting for more than a year before all hell breaks loose again.

I believe the fourth scenario would be best for the people of Syria if they could guarantee and protect freedom of religion and women's rights but that seems like a long-shot.

It's a mess.

Thanks for the thread, Junkdrawer.

Click here to purchase valentine hearts!

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

70 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Pentagon Proposes....wait for it....Boots on the Ground. [View all] Junkdrawer Sep 2013 OP

We Have People In Jordan Already, Sir The Magistrate Sep 2013 #1

Just advisors.... Junkdrawer Sep 2013 #2

No Reason To Assume it Will, Sir The Magistrate Sep 2013 #3

As long as they're (we're???) winning..... Junkdrawer Sep 2013 #5

You Sound Eager for Disaster, Sir The Magistrate Sep 2013 #6

You Sound Eager for Involvment.... Junkdrawer Sep 2013 #7

Not In The Least, Sir: Merely Opposed To Distortion And Hysteria The Magistrate Sep 2013 #9

Oh... Junkdrawer Sep 2013 #14

When You Seek Out People Who Make Stuff Up, Sir, It Complicates It Even More The Magistrate Sep 2013 #15

Oh, my Beautiful Mind Junkdrawer Sep 2013 #18

Some Do, Sir, Prefer Cheaper Rot-Guts To Established Brands The Magistrate Sep 2013 #20

To each, his own.... Junkdrawer Sep 2013 #24

Indeed, Sir: Cut With Strychnine And Wood Alcohol Seems To Be Your Tipple.... The Magistrate Sep 2013 #29

That's what Def. Sec. McNamara said, and he was never wrong. leveymg Sep 2013 #16

Actually, Sir The Magistrate Sep 2013 #17

Indeed, Mac's legacy is escalation. Few to many boots in little steps. That was exactly my point. leveymg Sep 2013 #22

But Desired From The Start, Sir The Magistrate Sep 2013 #27

Not until they capped Diem and JFK, then it became clear. Until then, it was just another hot spot. leveymg Sep 2013 #30

They Believe In Error, Sir The Magistrate Sep 2013 #32

They were of two minds. Check out the link to the article I just added. leveymg Sep 2013 #34

Read It When It Came Out, Sir The Magistrate Sep 2013 #36

So much of this still resonates. leveymg Sep 2013 #46

And In Both Instances You Reference, Sir The Magistrate Sep 2013 #47

I remember Vietnam being referred to at the time more as a domino than as a chess piece that might leveymg Sep 2013 #52

Never Lose Sight Of Domestic Political Considerations, Sir The Magistrate Sep 2013 #53

Chomsky just said this a few days ago: Junkdrawer Sep 2013 #35

Funny. I always thought it was China that kept them up at night, until G.H.W. entranced leveymg Sep 2013 #48

I think we were backing the French back then. upaloopa Sep 2013 #31

Loosely, Sir The Magistrate Sep 2013 #33

We supplied the French with planes and other weapons upaloopa Sep 2013 #59

We Certainly Did, Sir The Magistrate Sep 2013 #60

During the Korean war we had a Navy bomber stationed in country fully loaded upaloopa Sep 2013 #62

That One Was An Odd Duck, Sir The Magistrate Sep 2013 #63

I am impressed by your knowledge. I doubt anyone else upaloopa Sep 2013 #64

I Know Something Of It, Sir The Magistrate Sep 2013 #65

That plane crashed on take off from Wright Pat upaloopa Sep 2013 #66

I Think You Are Thinking Of The First B-17, Sir The Magistrate Sep 2013 #68

yep you're right upaloopa Sep 2013 #69

The Little One Under It is a P-26: They Make Quite A Pair.... The Magistrate Sep 2013 #70

Not only no...hell no!!!!! dkf Sep 2013 #4

IOW, many proposals were submitted on how to deal w/the CW attack. DevonRex Sep 2013 #8

Do we know this script by heart, woo me with science Sep 2013 #10

Practice make perfect.... Junkdrawer Sep 2013 #12

The way I see it there are only four alternative scenarios. Uncle Joe Sep 2013 #11

What is the current definition of "relatively moderate"? TheKentuckian Sep 2013 #37

To be honest, TheKentuckian, I'm not sure, it might be these guys, but I couldn't guarantee it. Uncle Joe Sep 2013 #41

Another State (successfully) reduced to a loose collection of warlords. Junkdrawer Sep 2013 #42

We're all a loose collection something even here in the U.S. Uncle Joe Sep 2013 #45

Good point. As the concept of strong, centrally (I prefer democratically) enforced laws.... Junkdrawer Sep 2013 #50

So do I, Junkdrawer, I also prefer democratically enforced laws. Uncle Joe Sep 2013 #54

Bin Laden, Bin Laden, Bin Laden Marrah_G Sep 2013 #13

Getting boots on the ground has worked ever so well in Afghanistan, Vietnam, and other civil wars. Tierra_y_Libertad Sep 2013 #19

We're real good at training young minds to kill on demand.... Junkdrawer Sep 2013 #21

Expect a new name for boots in a day or two. rug Sep 2013 #23

LOL, or a new name for ground grahamhgreen Sep 2013 #26

"American advisors." Why not, it all worked out great back then, didn't it? leveymg Sep 2013 #28

"Flip-flop" seems appropriate. 1000words Sep 2013 #61

HAHAHAHAHAHA puke grahamhgreen Sep 2013 #25

Like you couldn't see it coming? Cleita Sep 2013 #38

Everybody (well, almost everybody) is waiting for the next *ahem* Covert shoe to drop... Junkdrawer Sep 2013 #39

Time for another round of phone calls BlueToTheBone Sep 2013 #40

if syria falls then israel will go into full out war footing madrchsod Sep 2013 #43

Depends if they still have CWs.... Junkdrawer Sep 2013 #44

This message was self-deleted by its author libdem4life Sep 2013 #49

Kucinich interviewed Assad, who says there is no civil war in Syria ProSense Sep 2013 #51

What does that have to do with the OP? n/t Junkdrawer Sep 2013 #58

Let's be honest here, it is the freaking Pentagon! Rex Sep 2013 #55

+1 This is what they do.. SomethingFishy Sep 2013 #67

Can't get this song out of my head deek Sep 2013 #56

Everyone but the BOGies figured this. n/t L0oniX Sep 2013 #57