General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Any Thoughts on "Plan B" if Hillary Doesn't Run..Or, Declares and has Health Problem and Withdraws? [View all]libdem4life
(13,877 posts)think of a national candidate...doesn't mean there wasn't one...but none that comes to mind that was not somewhat fit. It's even more important than the age. Christie might have a hard time getting Big Money for a national run. Risky. He just doesn't look healthy enough for it, IMO.
Surely an overweight woman would not even be considered. When Hillary had her stroke, there were lots of questions about fitness and rightfully so.
We may be over-valuing the Tea Party. It is waning as the Moderates, with the help of Big Money, want their party back and are likely to get it...reinforced by little RNC money to the TP. Big Money has stated it is going to support Moderates with their own kind of purity test. The TP will still be around, but Bachmann and Cruz, their standard holders, look daffier by the day.
My prediction is that the net loss of Republican seats will be heavily Tea Partiers...targeted by the Democrats also as weak incumbents. Not all, but a good number of them.
Hillary/DNC will be helping down ticket Dems for 2014, raising her visibility again and getting results...McAullife being the successful start. She will only help those she and Bill think can win...not necessarily ideologically the same, but ones who can win. Coattails in the 2016 elections.
A bit of "impure" reality, there is NO WAY to the White House for either party without significant corporate support. One billion dollars does not come by way of small donations. 120 million people voted in 2012. Divide that into a billion in 2016...just short of $10 per voter. Obscene, but reality...2012 statistics.
Total money spent by Obama and the pro-Obama super PAC Priorities USA: $853 million
Total money spent by Romney and the pro-Romney super PAC Restore Our Future: $752.3 million
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/11/06/presidential-election-2012_n_2036244.html