Those who demand that everyone "just ACCEPT that Oswald did it"...

[BlueStreak]

258. Regarding the various probabilitiwes of the theories

Offhand, I'd put it something like this:

The Warren theory has a 2-5% probability of being the full and complete truth -- i.e. that Oswald acted entirely alone.

Re: the theory of a Cuban or Soviet hit, I'd put that at something like 5%. I don't see any evidence of that, other than Oswald's personal connections.

Re: the theory that it was "The Big Event" as described by Howard Hunt, involving at least a handful of characters from the CIA, possibly at the direction of LBJ, or possibly driven by others in government who felt threatened by the Kennedys, namely Dulles (and his CIA pals) and J Edgar Hoover, I'd give that something like a 10-20% probability. It has the motive for sure, but seems pretty sloppy for a CIA job. However, Hunt did describe it in some detail, and the CIA may not always be as clean as one might think.

Re: the idea that this was mainly a mob action, I'd give that more like 30-40% odds. That has a powerful motive because of the pressure that RFK was putting on the mob. The events certainly fit the style of the hit and also explains why Ruby became a principal.

The point is that IMHO, we don't have access to the evidence that would be conclusive on any of the scenarios, but of all of them, the Warren theory seems the LEAST plausible.