Riddle me this: let's say the GOP loses House seats but still hangs on to a slim majority BUT

[onenote]

18. There aren't enough crazies to make that happen

It seems like there are, but in reality the hard core crazies in the repub caucus are a minority and will remain one in any conceivable 2014 election scenario.

Let's take the most extreme situation -- the repubs hold the House by one vote (218-217), meaning that they lost 15 seats. The exact number of crazies in the repub caucus -- the ones that have consistently been willing to vote against Boehner when he and the rest of the repub caucus have been willing to make even a small accomodation -- is probably somewhere between 40 and 50. But even if you use 64, which is the number of Repubs voting against the trillion dollar budget deal earlier this month, it's not possible to construct a scenario in which the crazies are a majority of the repub House caucus.