In 2011, I made this comment here

[Comrade Grumpy]

11. That's two down, 48 to go, and the federal government. It ain't nearly over yet.

Realistically, we could see legalization this year in Alaska and Oregon via the initiative process. California isn't going to happen this year; neither are Arizona or Montana.

Then there's the District of Columbia. A legalization initiative has been filed there, the issue polls very well, there's also pressure on the city council. DC is easy by initiative standards because of its small size, so it could be a surprise this year.

We'll see legalization bills in various state legislatures, but I will be very pleasantly surprised if any of them passes this year. Advances on controversial issues at the state house are painfully slow.

Florida is BIG, but it's just medical marijuana. Still, it would be the first state in the South, and it's the biggest. However, because it's a constitutional amendment, it will need 60% to pass.

I think we'll see California go in 2016, and maybe Arizona, New Mexico, and Montana. And maybe by then, some state or two or three will have done it legislatively.

And then there's the federal government...