How you know America is not a center-right country, far to the left of Hillary:

[BlueStreak]

90. Personalities versus policies

When you poll on policies, the country if far to the left of the positions that any of the DLCers take on average.

The polls you are citing don't talk about any policies. They are just celebrity glamor tests. The problem that Hillary has is that because she has 100% name recognition she has nowhere to go but down as the discussion moves to real issues in another year or so. I think she has strong enough support to overcome that, but it might be another 51/49 race when all is said and done.

I assume there would be high turnout of women, including some women who usually vote Republicans but can't resist the chance to vote for the first female President. That will be a bigger factor than the "first black President" thing for Obama. Blacks strongly supported Democrats all along, but Obama got a higher total turnout of blacks, of course. Considering there are about 30 million Republican women who vote, I can easily imagine 5 million of them going for Hillary just this one historic time, and that could be decisive.