General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Juror in 'Loud Music' Trial Wanted Murder Conviction [View all]Boom Sound 416
(4,185 posts)Two things (for starters)
One
From snipped DU
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We found that homicide rates in states with a version of the Stand Your Ground law increased by an average of 8 percent over states without it which translates to roughly 600 additional homicides per year. These homicides are classified by police as criminal homicides, not as justifiable homicides.
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Ok, the last sentence. What does that mean? Does that mean at arrest and pre-trial? That might be important.
And 2
Snip from the rueters link to which global grind links
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The critical question for our research is whether this relative increase in homicide rates was caused by these laws. Several factors lead us to believe that laws are in fact responsible. First, the relative increase in homicide rates occurred in adopting states only after the laws were passed, not before. Moreover, there is no history of homicide rates in adopting states (like Florida) increasing relative to other states. In fact, the post-law increase in homicide rates in states like Florida was larger than any relative increase observed in the last 40 years. Put differently, there is no evidence that states like Florida just generally experience increases in homicide rates relative to other states, even when they dont pass these laws.
We also find no evidence that the increase is due to other factors we observe, such as demographics, policing, economic conditions, and welfare spending. Our results remain the same when we control for these factors. Along similar lines, if some other factor were driving the increase in homicides, wed expect to see similar increases in other crimes like larceny, motor vehicle theft and burglary. We do not. We find that the magnitude of the increase in homicide rates is sufficiently large that it is unlikely to be explained by chance.
In fact, there is substantial empirical evidence that these laws led to more deadly confrontations. Making it easier to kill people does result in more people getting killed.
Of course, it is also possible that these laws have benefits. For example, perhaps criminals respond to these laws by committing fewer burglaries, given that victims are now more empowered to use lethal force to resist. Or perhaps people now avoid fights and confrontations out of a fear that they will end badly.
Unfortunately, there isnt much evidence in the data of this type of deterrence. That means that whatever benefits these laws have, they are limited to the actual victims of crime, who may now be more willing or able to defend themselves, or may experience lower criminal or civil costs for doing so. We dont know how to quantify those benefits. But we do know there is no evidence that fewer violent crimes are committed as a result of these laws.
So where does that leave us with respect to the Dunn trial, and the broader debate over Stand Your Ground laws? Regardless of the trial outcome, the main damage has been done, and cannot be undone by one verdict or another. But it would be a mistake to ignore the evidence that deadly confrontations like this are more likely to occur as a result of these laws.
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It's a pretty balanced article and makes some compelling initial arguments, but these last few paragraphs need to be takent seriously, as well as, defining stand your ground may be more compleat than usual meters.
That and it would interesting to see the data two years from now for 2010-14.
Two more things
1. The "open season" arguement doesn't hold up to the data. See tampa tribune linked data
2. Both global grind and rueters frame the, let's say anti-SYG arguement around tow racially charged cases, but all the data they use against the law is omni-racial.
Thoughts?