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Boom Sound 416

(4,185 posts)
85. Thanks. Great link. Many thoughts.
Wed Feb 19, 2014, 09:31 PM
Feb 2014

Two things (for starters)

One

From snipped DU
--

We found that homicide rates in states with a version of the Stand Your Ground law increased by an average of 8 percent over states without it — which translates to roughly 600 additional homicides per year. These homicides are classified by police as criminal homicides, not as justifiable homicides.

--
Ok, the last sentence. What does that mean? Does that mean at arrest and pre-trial? That might be important.

And 2


Snip from the rueters link to which global grind links
--
The critical question for our research is whether this relative increase in homicide rates was caused by these laws. Several factors lead us to believe that laws are in fact responsible. First, the relative increase in homicide rates occurred in adopting states only after the laws were passed, not before. Moreover, there is no history of homicide rates in adopting states (like Florida) increasing relative to other states. In fact, the post-law increase in homicide rates in states like Florida was larger than any relative increase observed in the last 40 years. Put differently, there is no evidence that states like Florida just generally experience increases in homicide rates relative to other states, even when they don’t pass these laws.
We also find no evidence that the increase is due to other factors we observe, such as demographics, policing, economic conditions, and welfare spending. Our results remain the same when we control for these factors. Along similar lines, if some other factor were driving the increase in homicides, we’d expect to see similar increases in other crimes like larceny, motor vehicle theft and burglary. We do not. We find that the magnitude of the increase in homicide rates is sufficiently large that it is unlikely to be explained by chance.
In fact, there is substantial empirical evidence that these laws led to more deadly confrontations. Making it easier to kill people does result in more people getting killed.
Of course, it is also possible that these laws have benefits. For example, perhaps criminals respond to these laws by committing fewer burglaries, given that victims are now more empowered to use lethal force to resist. Or perhaps people now avoid fights and confrontations out of a fear that they will end badly.
Unfortunately, there isn’t much evidence in the data of this type of deterrence. That means that whatever benefits these laws have, they are limited to the actual victims of crime, who may now be more willing or able to defend themselves, or may experience lower criminal or civil costs for doing so. We don’t know how to quantify those benefits. But we do know there is no evidence that fewer violent crimes are committed as a result of these laws.
So where does that leave us with respect to the Dunn trial, and the broader debate over Stand Your Ground laws? Regardless of the trial outcome, the main damage has been done, and cannot be undone by one verdict or another. But it would be a mistake to ignore the evidence that deadly confrontations like this are more likely to occur as a result of these laws.

--
It's a pretty balanced article and makes some compelling initial arguments, but these last few paragraphs need to be takent seriously, as well as, defining stand your ground may be more compleat than usual meters.

That and it would interesting to see the data two years from now for 2010-14.

Two more things
1. The "open season" arguement doesn't hold up to the data. See tampa tribune linked data

2. Both global grind and rueters frame the, let's say anti-SYG arguement around tow racially charged cases, but all the data they use against the law is omni-racial.

Thoughts?

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

Yep. That's what I figured. kcr Feb 2014 #1
What is with editing/journalism these days? BlueCheese Feb 2014 #3
Eminent - love that dude Boom Sound 416 Feb 2014 #38
it's a put on. dionysus Feb 2014 #45
I believe much of editing / "journalism" has been offshored Skittles Feb 2014 #83
Remember how we got lectured for geek tragedy Feb 2014 #6
Yep - I sure do remember that. . . JustAnotherGen Feb 2014 #52
one person--demwing--did, and he was very gracious about it. geek tragedy Feb 2014 #53
+1 Blue_Tires Feb 2014 #61
So self defense by some jurors AnalystInParadise Feb 2014 #73
for the jurors who thought it was reasonable for him to pump geek tragedy Feb 2014 #74
"It said if he believed that he had an eminent threat to himself or his fiancee, so that was a thing JI7 Feb 2014 #2
As was obvious to those of us paying attention. geek tragedy Feb 2014 #4
Imminent not eminent Fumesucker Feb 2014 #5
Floriduh juries presume dead black kids guilty. nt geek tragedy Feb 2014 #7
only 3 jurors bought the self-defense argument. woolldog Feb 2014 #8
I figured it was a lone racist idiot. So I'm disappointed. geek tragedy Feb 2014 #9
or do a better job in jury selection woolldog Feb 2014 #10
part of the defense strategy was to make sure to get some racists on the jury JI7 Feb 2014 #12
The Jury Instructions Did Not Use "Reasonable" DallasNE Feb 2014 #21
Not true. woolldog Feb 2014 #44
The Jury Instructions Are Conflicting. DallasNE Feb 2014 #76
I would assume that whether the killing is "justified" woolldog Feb 2014 #78
Yeah, Dumbass Dunn was so "frightened".. Cha Feb 2014 #11
Message auto-removed Name removed Feb 2014 #50
This is what I suspected. bravenak Feb 2014 #13
EXACTLY!! SkyDaddy7 Feb 2014 #16
That is some terrible stuff. bravenak Feb 2014 #18
Florida should be held in perjury of the Constitution which promises the government will provide for world wide wally Feb 2014 #14
Data link? Boom Sound 416 Feb 2014 #56
Here is the link where I read the information world wide wally Feb 2014 #84
Thanks. Great link. Many thoughts. Boom Sound 416 Feb 2014 #85
On promotion Boom Sound 416 Feb 2014 #86
Jury Instructions Are Often Key To Understanding A Verdict DallasNE Feb 2014 #15
Isn't "beyond a reasonable doubt" the standard for the prosecution, not the defense? Bazinga Feb 2014 #26
Correct - Should Have Said "Reasonable Fear" Rather than "Reasonable Doubt" DallasNE Feb 2014 #72
When you're on a jury you sometimes must make decisions you disagree with... Kablooie Feb 2014 #17
there is no honest, intelligent interpretation of a guy yelling at kids in a car and then shooting geek tragedy Feb 2014 #20
Your right that the jurors had to be prejudiced. Kablooie Feb 2014 #51
problem is, all it takes is a couple of gun humping racist cowards on the jury Skittles Feb 2014 #81
You don't have to make decisions you disagree with NobodyHere Feb 2014 #32
Read up on your rights as a Juror. rgbecker Feb 2014 #71
That figures davidpdx Feb 2014 #19
So, if he had not shot at the fleeing van, he might have walked? Jeebus. Hoyt Feb 2014 #22
which it looks like Dunn can appeal can't he uponit7771 Feb 2014 #37
won't be successful and he's run out of money to hire a lawyer nt geek tragedy Feb 2014 #62
I don't like anyone calling it the Loud Music trial. Calling it B Calm Feb 2014 #23
Can we stop with the gray box? CANDO Feb 2014 #24
'The gray box' is DU's standard 'excerpt' function muriel_volestrangler Feb 2014 #40
Thanks for the reply... CANDO Feb 2014 #80
I'm afraid to say gollygee Feb 2014 #25
Glad the juror spoke so we know why they hung. morningfog Feb 2014 #27
Worse than alsame Feb 2014 #28
I imagined one .... etherealtruth Feb 2014 #87
This still doesn't make sense mythology Feb 2014 #29
there were two sets of shots dsc Feb 2014 #46
He fired 10 shots in all Yo_Mama Feb 2014 #60
there were actually three sets of shots TorchTheWitch Feb 2014 #77
because Dunn shot into the vehicle as it was fleeing. SD clearly could not be applied at that point. magical thyme Feb 2014 #47
This is WORSE than Zimmerman uponit7771 Feb 2014 #30
No they are the same. Fearful white men, shoot and murder innocent B Calm Feb 2014 #31
At least with Zimmerman there alsame Feb 2014 #33
Again, if GZ hadn't stalked his victim, there wouldn't be a gun and there B Calm Feb 2014 #34
Yeap that's my issue worth Zimmerman was the stalking.... FL a is uponit7771 Feb 2014 #36
Oh, I absolutely agree with alsame Feb 2014 #41
nah black kids don't need a weapon just existence to a gun nut uponit7771 Feb 2014 #42
And to 3 alsame Feb 2014 #43
... to a "gun nut" and Florida juries etherealtruth Feb 2014 #70
The act might be worse than Zimmerman but these people had video uponit7771 Feb 2014 #35
there's no question Zimmerman provoked, too Skittles Feb 2014 #82
Can anyone give, or direct me to, a summary of the evidence on whether Davis got out? muriel_volestrangler Feb 2014 #39
From what I understand Boom Sound 416 Feb 2014 #48
ME said Davis shot in car riverwalker Feb 2014 #54
Thanks - if he was shot in the car, then the 'imminent threat' wasn't there muriel_volestrangler Feb 2014 #58
2-3 jurors said "he was afraid, so he was justified" geek tragedy Feb 2014 #55
there isn't a summary accept maybe the closing arguments TorchTheWitch Feb 2014 #79
3 Jurors out of 12 is 25%, which is a percentage we all have heard about before. John1956PA Feb 2014 #49
Um, isn't that what "hung jury" means? Courtesy Flush Feb 2014 #57
Whole buncha people here were right and I was wrong. Yo_Mama Feb 2014 #59
FWIW I wanted you to be right and me be wrong, I've just given up after Zimmerman uponit7771 Feb 2014 #63
Impossible: Many very knowledgeable DU lawyers insisted that it was Murder 1 v Murder 2!!! alcibiades_mystery Feb 2014 #64
How many accusations of profiling jurors as racists did you see here? bettyellen Feb 2014 #65
There was an unsurprising confluence between those arguing that the jury was deadlocked alcibiades_mystery Feb 2014 #66
I think a few believed it was sooo clear cut that they thought bettyellen Feb 2014 #67
+1, and these people are MIA for this thread uponit7771 Feb 2014 #69
Amen uponit7771 Feb 2014 #68
it was obvious, and those of us who said "racists seeing it as justified" were geek tragedy Feb 2014 #75
I held out hope (it was obviously dashed) etherealtruth Feb 2014 #88
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