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JoeTaxpayer

(3 posts)
42. Can there ever be an objective view?
Fri Feb 28, 2014, 07:21 PM
Feb 2014

I have no hidden agenda. I've seen the same talking heads offer their 'job killer' rhetoric, and cite the data that suggests a 300K job loss. Ok, let's say for a moment this is correct.

The current proposal is to go to 10.10 over the next 2 years. I think that you'll find the incremental money these workers get is spent before they get their next paycheck. This has a stimulative effect on the economy, and typically affects the very businesses they work for, especially the Walmarts.

I'm hopeful that the data is clear, that as we see the wage rise, we can measure this multiplier effect and also monitor the direct causation of job loss due to the rise. If we get 16M people to $10.10, at a cost of 300K jobs (a recent study offered this), we have those 16M earning an incremental $91B, based on the increase and 2000 hrs/yr, but $4B in lost wages from the 300K job loss. If the estimates are true, this seems acceptable as a trade off.

The $91B is high velocity money. For the non-economist, this means it's money that gets spent fast as these earners aren't putting it into the bank, they are spending it as soon as they make it. I've used the expression, "they are cashing their check at 5:30 on Friday to put dinner on the table at 7:00." It's unfortunate, but it also means an immediate boost to the economy, far more than the silly payroll tax cut years ago. A great number of the 16 million workers will require less government help, and the savings will more than offset those who have lost their jobs. The same talking heads that say "you wouldn't be in favor of the raise if you are one of the 300K" are offering a red herring, as if they actually care about those who will be helped or hurt.

The minimum wage hasn't risen in a long time, yet my grocery store has implemented self-checkout, as has my local Borg (Home Depot, if you are not a fan of pet names).

As a new poster here, I will candidly admit, I am not in favor of income redistribution. So please stop taking my tax money and subsidizing Walmart employees' wages. It would seem to me that if they paid their workers a fair wage, I can keep my money, as the workers wouldn't need the subsidy. In the spirit of "follow the money," my taxes aren't going to those minimum wage earners, but to the Walton family.

Last, the nonsensical argument of "if $10 is good why not raise the wage to $20, $25, etc?" My sane response? There is a number, reminiscent of the Laffer curve, where the next .10 in wages is a negative to the system. It may be at $12.50, it may be higher. I don't know. What I do know is that it's not at $7.25. The pundits that keep turning up on CNN never get this far in the conversation. I look forward to some intelligent discussion here.

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The Myth of Minimum Wage Killing Jobs [View all] WonderGrunion Sep 2013 OP
Labor Day weekend kick WonderGrunion Sep 2013 #1
du rec. xchrom Sep 2013 #2
Thank you for the K&R WonderGrunion Sep 2013 #17
Great chart! No arguing with that. Thanks. Squinch Sep 2013 #3
I wanted to make it easy to digest WonderGrunion Sep 2013 #21
Everytime the debte comes up they say it will kill jobs and cause inflation arely staircase Sep 2013 #4
What that chart really shows Mnpaul Sep 2013 #5
Around 1970-1980s, job growth slowed/stalled Triana Sep 2013 #6
Bookmarked. Thank you for this WG. (nt) PotatoChip Sep 2013 #7
You are very welcome WonderGrunion Sep 2013 #24
oh... too bad handmade34 Sep 2013 #8
Facts do have a well known liberal bias. WonderGrunion Sep 2013 #20
Great post. Let's see how long the Cato/Heritage folks take to attack it. SunSeeker Sep 2013 #9
About 7 minutes. Then, the next one 16 minutes afterward. Egalitarian Thug Sep 2013 #26
K&R Ohio Joe Sep 2013 #10
This chart is worthless bobclark86 Sep 2013 #11
But the Repukes never talk about inflation or banks fucking people WonderGrunion Sep 2013 #14
Gee, maybe their employers will recognize this and give those 5-year employees raises too. Gormy Cuss Sep 2013 #22
The chart is far from useless. It may not show the complete picture but at least he rhett o rick Sep 2013 #27
Not worthless. Not even a chart. D Gary Grady Sep 2013 #28
k and r niyad Sep 2013 #12
I looked at my working life from '79 onwards and this chart goes against your theory OnlinePoker Sep 2013 #13
Those 7 out of 10 times were during Reagan and the Bushes WonderGrunion Sep 2013 #16
Excellent post. n/t DirkGently Sep 2013 #15
every time a min wage increase is proposed, the same dire predictions are cast. KG Sep 2013 #18
And yet every time they never happen the same BS is still trotted out the next time Populist_Prole Sep 2013 #32
Minimum wage increases are needed, but growing work/worker imbalance is the greater problem. reformist2 Sep 2013 #19
Bookmarked... lamp_shade Sep 2013 #23
The chart leaves out a very important data point Bunnahabhain Sep 2013 #25
It leaves out several important data points WonderGrunion Sep 2013 #29
You're not seeing the importance of effective or not Bunnahabhain Sep 2013 #40
Kick and Rec for DU supply siders. Kingofalldems Sep 2013 #30
I never know what to say to this kind of "here are data!" posts. Igel Sep 2013 #31
In over half the data points, unemployment didn't increase 1 year later WonderGrunion Sep 2013 #33
If you are looking for an example of how destructive to the economy and indepat Sep 2013 #34
Yay! 50 Recs. WonderGrunion Sep 2013 #35
There's another one they use jmowreader Sep 2013 #36
Republicans hate working people. Republicans = cheap labor B Calm Sep 2013 #37
It's not just that they hate working people WonderGrunion Sep 2013 #38
Good work -- can you overlay the federal elections? BadgerKid Sep 2013 #39
Those are some of my favorite overlays Bunnahabhain Sep 2013 #41
Can there ever be an objective view? JoeTaxpayer Feb 2014 #42
What of your money is being used to subsidize Walmart employee's wages? uppityperson Feb 2014 #43
Walmart Subsidy JoeTaxpayer Feb 2014 #44
Thank you for clarifying, understood and I agree with that. Now, what about the military budget? uppityperson Feb 2014 #45
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