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ProSense

(116,464 posts)
4. I think
Tue Mar 4, 2014, 11:42 AM
Mar 2014
Today, the Washington Post and ABC News released their most recent join poll results. They are abysmal for Democrats. The Republicans stand an excellent chance to keep the House. That's bad enough, but it is looking increasingly likely that the Republicans could pick up the six seats they need to sieze control of the Senate.


...the OP analysis is off.

WaPo title:

Poll: Democrats’ advantage on key issues is not translating to a midterm-election edge

The Post-ABC survey affirms those projections, showing Republicans in a stronger position than Democrats in the states with Senate races this fall and more than holding their own in the battle for control of the House. In the 34 states with Senate races, 50 percent of voters say they favor Republicans and 42 percent favor Democrats.

That is the case despite the Republican Party’s poor image nationally and its deficit on some important issues. About two in three Americans say the GOP is out of touch “with the concerns of most people in the United States today.”

Republican aren't going to win 34 Senate seats, despite that polling.

The actual reason Republicans have an edge is that several Senate seats currently held by Democrats are in states won by Romney in 2012.

Alaska
Arkansas
Louisiana
Montana
North Carolina
South Dakota
West Virginia

I'm going to exerpt a bit of the story.

A majority (56 percent) say that, based on personal experience, the economy has begun to recover. But only 18 percent say it is a strong recovery. Four in 10 call the recovery weak, and the rest say it has not begun.


Barely half the people think we are in a recovery. Fully 40% say it is a weak recovery. That is because we as a people are ignoring the 55 million people who are not employed, and aren't counted. Think about that my friends. We're talling 55 million people that they and their familes don't count.

There is simply no way to spin the fact that 56 percent say "the economy has begun to recover" as a negative.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

Historical patterns strongly suggest we will NOT regain the House and MAY Lurks Often Mar 2014 #1
Historical voting patterns strongly suggested that we'd NEVER elect a BLACK president. BlueCaliDem Mar 2014 #5
I'm not setting my hair on fire, but historical patterns can give indications of the future Lurks Often Mar 2014 #8
Until they're not. As last election showed us. BlueCaliDem Mar 2014 #12
I'm certainly not going to try and predict the Senate Lurks Often Mar 2014 #16
Then I'm confused. BlueCaliDem Mar 2014 #17
I said MAY win the Senate, not will Lurks Often Mar 2014 #18
maybe I am an idiot, but to me Democrats have shown leadership rurallib Mar 2014 #2
The problem is too many elected Democrats don't put the blame where it belongs. stillwaiting Mar 2014 #7
Really? Savannahmann Mar 2014 #9
Democrats may be blowing it again. earthside Mar 2014 #3
Tea party extremism? Savannahmann Mar 2014 #10
Well, it's worked for the Republitarian Party, hasn't it? BlueCaliDem Mar 2014 #13
Revisionist History. Awesome. Savannahmann Mar 2014 #20
Yeah. Yours. AWESOME theorizing - in a LaLa World. BlueCaliDem Mar 2014 #28
Yup. That is it. earthside Mar 2014 #14
Yeah. Savannahmann Mar 2014 #21
Come election time AgingAmerican Mar 2014 #11
I think ProSense Mar 2014 #4
Well... BlueCaliDem Mar 2014 #6
+1 Dawson Leery Mar 2014 #27
6 million full time jobs short of 2007 One_Life_To_Give Mar 2014 #15
The 3% Strategy (being 3% less sucky than Repukes) isn't working anymore. kenny blankenship Mar 2014 #19
+100 woo me with science Mar 2014 #35
We have a giver-upper in our home. He did get medical coverage under the ACA and.. Tikki Mar 2014 #22
It's hard to blame those who have given into despair Savannahmann Mar 2014 #25
So what are you doing about it? Pretzel_Warrior Mar 2014 #23
Damn it I forgot Savannahmann Mar 2014 #24
Well, it would prove more useful. Pretzel_Warrior Mar 2014 #26
Don't underestimate the talent the Republicans have for screwing things up. Common Sense Party Mar 2014 #29
That's not much of a plan Savannahmann Mar 2014 #30
No need to pray--some of the Repukes are going to crash and burn without any Common Sense Party Mar 2014 #33
People resent being lied to and manipulated. woo me with science Mar 2014 #31
You're ProSense Mar 2014 #32
good thread, but as pointless as trying go convince the GOP that 'skewed polls' are a myth... Demo_Chris Mar 2014 #34
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