General Discussion

Motown_Johnny

(22,308 posts)

34. Do the math.

Wed Mar 5, 2014, 10:14 AM

Mar 2014

Only 8% of (R)s say there is a good chance they might vote for her.

Then only 87% of (D)s say there is a good or some chance that they would vote for her.

So we have 13% of (D)s that won't vote for her and only 8% of (R)s that say there is a good chance they will vote for her.

This is a ~5% loss of total electorate. Unless the 17% that says there is "some" chance make that up. This does not seem likely given that we are still over a year and a half out and the attacks have not really started yet. That 17% will greatly decrease by the time election day comes around.

Looks like the landslide is for the other side.

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Poll: A quarter of Republicans Say They May Vote For Hillary Clinton in 2016 [View all] applegrove Mar 2014 OP

Landslide. rug Mar 2014 #1

Do the math. Motown_Johnny Mar 2014 #34

You can't do the math without more information titaniumsalute Mar 2014 #35

Democrats will vote for Hillary if she's the nominee. Laelth Mar 2014 #77

Is this good news or bad news? yourout Mar 2014 #2

You would prefer a Republican president? BainsBane Mar 2014 #5

There you go. The Republican threat to scare voters into voting for a Corporatist Democrat. rhett o rick Mar 2014 #12

If that were the case AgingAmerican Mar 2014 #23

They are. Dont judge the Republican Party by the whacko's in Congress. rhett o rick Mar 2014 #37

I know lots and lots of Republicans AgingAmerican Mar 2014 #43

We got a little off the point here. The OP indicates that Republicans like Clinton-Sachs, and I rhett o rick Mar 2014 #48

Because she has AgingAmerican Mar 2014 #49

I think a lot will support her. Maybe only in the privacy of the voting booth, but she stands rhett o rick Mar 2014 #52

Ding, ding, ding. We have a winner. Scuba Mar 2014 #25

Yeah, we sure do.... MADem Mar 2014 #26

We may make some headway on social issues but cant see that rhett o rick Mar 2014 #45

Well, you're just going to have to wait 'n see. MADem Mar 2014 #51

I wouldnt be surprised that Sen Warren campaigns for her. She isnt stupid and she is a politician. rhett o rick Mar 2014 #54

Where do you get this silly stuff? MADem Mar 2014 #56

How has she convinced you that she will help alleviate poverty? rhett o rick Mar 2014 #60

Do you think they're mixing drinks over at the Clinton Foundation? MADem Mar 2014 #62

Sorry, I mistook you for someone that wanted to have a decent conversation. rhett o rick Mar 2014 #72

I guarantee you that 80% of those Republicans are women ConservativeDemocrat Mar 2014 #6

That's my take on it, too. Hillary will reverse / end the war on women, I'm sure of that! n/t freshwest Mar 2014 #22

Sarcasm? bunnies Mar 2014 #53

I don't think of it as sarcasm... ConservativeDemocrat Mar 2014 #58

The GOP already embraces woman-haters bunnies Mar 2014 #59

then I guess you must hate Obama who got the votes of many republicans dsc Mar 2014 #7

PUMAs were DINOs. joshcryer Mar 2014 #18

And here's your winner, folks! Ikonoklast Mar 2014 #31

If I were a woman I would find your post highly offensive Bandit Mar 2014 #36

You assume I said all women, when I did no such thing. Ikonoklast Mar 2014 #38

Here is an example of what you said: Lunacy. And there was more than enough of that. Whisp Mar 2014 #39

Oh my gawd. Only saw this online in message boards. Not in real life. But I do know people who were freshwest Mar 2014 #69

I think the actions of the GOP since 2010 caused that, not the sex of the candidates. And Obama has freshwest Mar 2014 #71

And the ones I knew (note past tense) voted for McCain and never looked back. So yeah, it's them. nt freshwest Mar 2014 #61

AFTER he conservative movement drowns in its own waste-filled bathtub... JHB Mar 2014 #29

It may draw in GOP women voters who have complained about their War on Women. n/t freshwest Mar 2014 #79

Don't ever believe a republican. It's a trick! n/t Tx4obama Mar 2014 #3

^^^^^ spanone Mar 2014 #4

+1 JoeyT Mar 2014 #10

a few rotten smear ads will quickly change their malleable minds. unblock Mar 2014 #8

+1 for the Yoda impersonation. n/t Laelth Mar 2014 #78

That number will go down Renew Deal Mar 2014 #9

Some of the women will. Dawson Leery Mar 2014 #11

I've met some. As to whether they would still feel that way November 2016 is another matter. cthulu2016 Mar 2014 #13

Dear potential Republican Hillary supporters... Gravitycollapse Mar 2014 #14

If the Republicans nominate Cruz or Rubio, and we nominate Hillary? DemocraticWing Mar 2014 #15

Two years.. long way off in politics. But, Cha Mar 2014 #16

If she decides to run, I suspect she'll be a formidable candidate. Warren DeMontague Mar 2014 #17

Or have any plan to challenge her. joshcryer Mar 2014 #19

I'm personally of the opinion that this time she'll need to run on more than "inevitability" Warren DeMontague Mar 2014 #20

Well, there's all that SECSTATE experience. MADem Mar 2014 #27

Don't get me wrong; I'm not questioning her qualifications. Warren DeMontague Mar 2014 #40

I think she'll be fine. MADem Mar 2014 #41

Again, more basing that comment on 2008, but I agree. Warren DeMontague Mar 2014 #42

Just so long as she doesn't feel the need to put boots on the ground at those exotic locales... freshwest Mar 2014 #64

She's had an opportunity to do two things. MADem Mar 2014 #66

If she runs, I hope she can make that case to a war-weary nation and stifle the chickenhawks. n/t freshwest Mar 2014 #68

"Formidable candidate" is kinda funny. She has Corp-America behind her. What Democrat can fight rhett o rick Mar 2014 #50

Great, our corporate selected leader.... blackspade Mar 2014 #21

This should be...um, raven mad Mar 2014 #24

Yay. Savannahmann Mar 2014 #28

If more republicans in that poll supported Clinton, I'd be worried justiceischeap Mar 2014 #30

So 13% of (D)s won't vote for her? Motown_Johnny Mar 2014 #32

Are republicans just now figuring out Hillary is B Calm Mar 2014 #33

A Hillary landslide will now be seen as a bad thing at DU... SidDithers Mar 2014 #44

Yes, MoonRiver Mar 2014 #47

Ahhh, that vocal minority! MADem Mar 2014 #65

I'm looking forward to hearing real life Democrats cheering her on in public. I posted a video here freshwest Mar 2014 #73

Good stuff... SidDithers Mar 2014 #74

I liked the 'peace, prosperity and progress' theme she mentioned. That good Democratic policy. n/t freshwest Mar 2014 #75

Well, that recommends her, woo me with science Mar 2014 #46

Since she's one of them I'm surprised it's not higher. PeteSelman Mar 2014 #55

Well, that certainly says something about her politics if the Republicans like her. Tierra_y_Libertad Mar 2014 #57

1 yr ago, most Republicans, including Republican pundits I spoke with privately said they wouldnt stevenleser Mar 2014 #63

Seems that the broadining of the party is working. NCTraveler Mar 2014 #67

Getting a quarter of the GOP vote would be a landslide, for sure. nyquil_man Mar 2014 #70

Wow. I'm no fan of the Clintons, but that's a shocking poll result. Laelth Mar 2014 #76