Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

General Discussion

In reply to the discussion: The Plane [View all]

ellisonz

(27,776 posts)
23. I think there are a couple problems with the scenario
Tue Mar 18, 2014, 03:22 AM
Mar 2014

1) The flight-time - the last ping is recorded 7 hours after take-off. How much fuel would he burn flying low and fast like that? I think that would substantially shortened the range and increased the likelihood of detection over the coastal plains of relatively flat, heavily populated Burma, Bangladesh and India.

2) Elevation - he would have needed to dramatically gain elevation to maintain that into the Himalayas and increase the chance of being spotted by radar. Given the estimated flight time, he would have needed to probably circle extensively over the ocean to not simply crash into the Himalayas. The Himalayas are of course not unpopulated so there would be a good chance of ground detection already given the time lapse since disappearance.

3) China - the PRC undoubtedly has better air defense systems - there could always of course be a coverup. Otherwise, this would be a major demonstration of weakness for a nuclear power.

Where would the final destination have been? Was an organized group or state helping them? Neither pilot is known to be a religious fundamentalist. Furthermore, why would a Malaysian purposefully crash a 777 into a Himalayan mountain?

It would be difficult to hide a 777 without existing facilities and substantial ground support given the number of eyes probably looking right now.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

The Plane [View all] fadedrose Mar 2014 OP
I have been wondering what the target would be. Moscow is as good as any. nt ChisolmTrailDem Mar 2014 #1
I think they hate the Russians more than us . . . fadedrose Mar 2014 #4
Nope. Bottom of nowhere in the Southern Indian Ocean. ellisonz Mar 2014 #2
You mean the US Navy is going to tell them they're coming fadedrose Mar 2014 #3
The CIA isn't all that functional... ellisonz Mar 2014 #5
Anybody working on Iran can't be that functional fadedrose Mar 2014 #11
One of the flaws with that theory Nevernose Mar 2014 #6
One Pilot, an expert in Asian countries fadedrose Mar 2014 #9
Tell her I agree with her fadedrose Mar 2014 #12
... 2naSalit Mar 2014 #13
Didn't consider Kyrgyzstan . . . fadedrose Mar 2014 #15
from the title hfojvt Mar 2014 #7
No, I would have said, De Plane, De Plane! :) fadedrose Mar 2014 #10
Didn't he leave that island and go work for the yuiyoshida Mar 2014 #20
Other way around... JHB Mar 2014 #29
Guessing that took place after yuiyoshida Mar 2014 #30
Interesting scenario Art_from_Ark Mar 2014 #8
If the purpose is certain doom... ellisonz Mar 2014 #17
Not really Art_from_Ark Mar 2014 #18
Yeah... ellisonz Mar 2014 #19
That could be a possibility Art_from_Ark Mar 2014 #21
I think there are a couple problems with the scenario ellisonz Mar 2014 #23
One does not have to be a religious fundamentalist Art_from_Ark Mar 2014 #24
What's the payoff? ellisonz Mar 2014 #25
I'm not privy to his thoughts, Art_from_Ark Mar 2014 #28
You're right. 1000words Mar 2014 #14
Oh for fuck's sake. longship Mar 2014 #16
I say they landed in BKK and are having a hell of a party! grahamhgreen Mar 2014 #26
Anything's possible, and I am just so puzzled by this event that I MADem Mar 2014 #22
Speculation is fun. Live and Learn Mar 2014 #27
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»The Plane»Reply #23