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AngryAmish

(25,704 posts)

12. A pox on both

Reply to warrior1 (Original post)

Sun Mar 23, 2014, 01:39 PM

Mar 2014

Nate Silver has not released his model. Fine. But it may or may not be accurate. So all of his predictions are suspect.

As for Krugman. Krugman is an economist. For the really useful stuff (debt load of a nation, interest rates, if a multiplier exists etc) there is profound disagreements. There is no predictive value in the process that calls itself economics.

The future is inherently unpredictable. We should be more modest in our claims.

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Tarnished Silver (Nate Silver) by Paul Krugman [View all] warrior1 Mar 2014 OP

Today's discussion should be interesting BumRushDaShow Mar 2014 #1

Indeed Cirque du So-What Mar 2014 #2

At least Krugman doesn't descend into a screech about how 'unfair' Silver's methods are. randome Mar 2014 #3

Is there any way Cirque du So-What Mar 2014 #4

I thought Krugman was saying the opposite: that Silver is looking at ONLY the data. randome Mar 2014 #8

Prof. Krugman is a Nobel Prize winning liberal Economist, not a poll agency Hekate Mar 2014 #13

HA!!!! It's Nate... WhaTHellsgoingonhere Mar 2014 #15

Nate Silver's a bit overrated. Both Drew Linzer and Sam Wang had more accurate predictions, IIRC Chathamization Mar 2014 #5

Data is plural. cthulu2016 Mar 2014 #6

Datums is a word Chathamization Mar 2014 #9

'Data' is plural muriel_volestrangler Mar 2014 #7

People who treat it as if it's plural often have a difficult time using it consistantly Chathamization Mar 2014 #10

I'd agree that switching mid-sentence like that looks awkward muriel_volestrangler Mar 2014 #11

"Piece of data" clearly wouldn't work, just as "piece of cars" wouldn't mean a single car Chathamization Mar 2014 #14

A pox on both AngryAmish Mar 2014 #12

Well, Nate Silver has this habit of prevailing over conventional wisdom. pa28 Mar 2014 #16