For fucks sake ...get out and vote Dem ...fuck Nate Silver!

[TSIAS]

102. Don't even know where to start

I get these emails from the DNC and DSCC predicting doom and gloom as well. I know they are trying to scare people into voting and giving money, but their hysteria is a bit over the top.

If I recall, Silver predicted all but one Senate race correctly in 2012. I'm sure he'd agree that it's too early to tell. He relies on polls and obviously those polls will change between now and November.

I understand the importance to keep the Senate, and trust me if it weren't so important I wouldn't care if this lousy group of Democratic Senators and candidates lost. These are the people (Landrieu, Pryor, Begich) who probably killed the Murthy nomination. Now we have Alison Grimes in Kentucky trying to out-gun Mitch McConnell on Twitter. I guess gun-nuttery is all the rage in the Democratic Party nowadays in the South. Even Jimmy Carter's grandson wants more guns in bars and schools.

But back to Silver. I can't believe how many people turn on him when he makes a prediction that they don't like. I remember reading Silver's blog in 2012 to assure myself that the idea of a close Obama/Romney election was simply a media smoke scree... and he was right. I watched the piece and all he basically said was that WV, SD, and MT were pretty much losses, AR was 70 % for the GOP and other races were close to 50/50. And that's not considering the chance that Dems take 1 or possibly 2 in Georgia and Kentucky.

The fallacy is that Silver can predict the results, so there's no need to vote. All he does is follow what people tell reputable pollsters, and adds in various factors like the state's historic tilt.