We are not capable of truly reinforcing Eastern Europe, math is not on our side

[4Q2u2]

132. Assumptions are wrong

You state these facts like Senior Military Command is going to be like minded as you. Even worse you assume the Political leaders are going to take no for an answer from our Military. Those non-deployable units will get waivered and be re-certed in minutes. It is all base on acceptable loses and risk reward. That 3-6 months is what the Army would like to have but it will roll out in less if Ordered.
Those Combat Ready Troops on the ground in Afghanistan will re-deploy and be ready in days and weeks not months. In July 2009 we had almost 200,000 Troops on the ground 131,000 in Iraq and 62,000 in Afghanistan. We have reduced Troop levels in those two Theaters combined by over 50%. That was even after extended manpower and equipment sustainments. You also assume that because DUer's did not like the Guard fighting in Iraq that Policy makers will somehow see that as a non starter and not use those Troops. You also believe that it is a one to one ratio of Combatants that is a determinig factor but our Forces have over tens years of Battle experience which no amount of training can simulate. Their Generals know this and so do ours.