We are not capable of truly reinforcing Eastern Europe, math is not on our side

[AnalystInParadise]

137. Spin up fast?

Yes, but fast in this case is six months to a year. A war between Russia and Ukraine would end in 90 days or less.

And no I think the General will tell the President he is ready, even though he knows he isn't ready. I have also been there and done that, we are not prepared. Deployable units with not enough beans, bullets, Bradleys and bodies is not something we want to deploy.

As for the Maritime and the RO/RO stuff, again what soldiers are we going to use to man it? Right now at this moment we have 2 HBCT's that are manned and ready. If you look at the Pseudo Patch Chart I listed, the vast majority of the rest of the available soldiers are Light Infantry/Airborne/Air Assault. They are not Cross Trained to man an Abrams, Bradley or Stryker. We could combine non-deployable/reset Brigades into brand new Brigades, but again what would their unit cohesion look like. Hell, here at Fort Bliss, we have less than 1000 soldiers that can deploy due to other missions, unit deactivations and reset status. The 1st Brigade, the one in reset has a normal strength of 3800 personnel, right now they are at roughly 2000, their equipment is either turned in or rated non missions capable. The 2nd Brigade is the NIE Brigade, they have not been on a real field problem in 3 years. They have done nothing but Digital Exercise after Digital Exercise and they are trained (for 3 years) on non standard weapons and other platforms. Right now they are rated lowest low for manpower, equipment and potential deployment. 3rd Brigade has been deactivated, their normal strength is 3800 personnel they have about 600 left expecting to hit zero by June, That unit does not exist, it has no equipment, its MRAP's and other equipment have been sent to the Guard, to the Scrapyard or to local law enforcement around the country. That leaves 4th Brigade. They have the Homeland Defense mission, meaning they are on lockdown for any movement. Sure they could be released to any contingency in Ukraine, but that is unlikely.

Bottom line Fort Bliss, 1st Armored Div, the heaviest unit in the Army, has less than half a Brigade capable of deploying. The rest of the Army is beat up almost as badly. Can they be ordered to deploy? Yep, and it would be a disaster.