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Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin

(137,470 posts)
Thu May 22, 2014, 02:10 PM May 2014

Huckabee, Clinton lead in Iowa [View all]

PPP's newest Iowa 2016 poll finds the same thing every 2016 poll ever conducted has found- a wide open race on the Republican side, and Hillary Clinton with a dominant lead among the Democrats.

For the Republicans Mike Huckabee leads with 20% to 15% for Ted Cruz, 12% for Jeb Bush, 10% for Rand Paul, 9% for Chris Christie, 8% for Paul Ryan, 6% for Scott Walker, 4% for Marco Rubio, and 3% for Rick Santorum. Huckabee led on our February poll as well. Huckabee leads based especially on his strength with conservatives, women, and seniors.

Other things of note:

-Chris Christie actually now has a negative favorability rating with Republicans in the state at 36/38. That's largely due to his issues with 'very conservative' voters, only 22% of whom see him favorably to 49% with a negative opinion. Christie leads the GOP field with moderates, but gets only 3% with the most conservative voters who constitute a plurality of the electorate.

-Huckabee is the only Republican to hit a 70% favorability rating in Iowa. The next highest after him is Sarah Palin at 68%, then Santorum at 62%, and Ryan and Paul at 60%. Despite remaining personally popular Santorum does not appear to be many people's first choice this time around- his surprise win in 2012 was largely the product of a weak field for conservative voters to choose from.

-snip-

On the Democratic side Hillary Clinton remains ever dominant with 59% supporting her for the nomination to 12% for Joe Biden, 11% for Elizabeth Warren, 3% each for Cory Booker and Andrew Cuomo, and everyone else at 2% or lower. Clinton has an 83/12 favorability rating, and polls at least 53% with liberals, moderates, men, women, seniors, and younger voters alike.

If Clinton doesn't run Biden leads the field with 34% to 22% for Warren, 7% for Cuomo, and 4% for Booker. Biden (74/15 favorability), Warren (55/7 favorability), and Cuomo (38/13 favorability) are the only Democratic hopefuls besides Clinton with over 50% name recognition. If Biden sat it out too, Warren would lead with 31% to 14% for Cuomo and 9% for Booker.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2014/05/huckabee-clinton-continue-to-lead-in-iowa.html

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