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Ichingcarpenter

(36,988 posts)

14. I took 2 semesters in Political Science on Polling

Reply to hack89 (Reply #10)

Wed Jun 11, 2014, 10:27 AM

Jun 2014

back in the 70s for my PS degree.

I used to trust polls and exit polls but then something happened to the system where I found them more and more unreliable and suspect and that was 6 years before `kerry's exit polls in Ohio.

I went to 538 because of Krugman's observation . Neither mentioned how Cantors internal polls were so wrong and why.

so I think I will include that in the OP so not to upset the sensitive.

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538 and Krugman Eric Cantor upset what happened. [View all] Ichingcarpenter Jun 2014 OP

Did I miss Nate Silver predicting this? Everything I read said "Cantor in a walk." MADem Jun 2014 #1

I said in a earlier thread (months ago) that Nate Silver is an idiot. Timez Squarez Jun 2014 #2

Grayson can't get the votes. A lot of his peers dislike him in a big way. MADem Jun 2014 #3

Absolutely correct Reter Jun 2014 #6

I was gonna include Krugman's take also Ichingcarpenter Jun 2014 #4

That is an interesting take. And yeah, I wouldn't let a Republican predict if MADem Jun 2014 #15

I don't think Silver made a prediction. hack89 Jun 2014 #5

He needs to work on his methods, then. MADem Jun 2014 #8

He didn't make a prediction so why are you attacking him? hack89 Jun 2014 #10

He can't rest on his laurels. He needs to get in there when it's risky. It's easy to MADem Jun 2014 #13

I took 2 semesters in Political Science on Polling Ichingcarpenter Jun 2014 #14

Democrats voted in the primary Demsrule86 Jun 2014 #7

Well, they need to do several things to win this thing, then. MADem Jun 2014 #12

I bet hes another R with all his 'employee yes men' pretending they'll vote for him. Sunlei Jun 2014 #9

The other factor involved in Cantor's defeat is Larkspur Jun 2014 #11

All politics is local! nt MADem Jun 2014 #16