Canter Gone, so is the Senate [View all]

[Savannahmann]

Today my email box was full of groups and people demanding that I donate to them to help defeat Brat claiming that the primary defeat of Cantor gives us a historic chance to win the district. ONE DISTRICT.

Even if we won that one district, we would not take control of the House. Taking control of the House of Representatives is a fantasy at this moment. But I've seen plenty of threads here calling on much the same thing, a chance to charge the enemy in full frontal assault and defeat them.

So what is going to happen? We're going to be distracted by the Teapublican opportunity in Virginia, which in all honesty is at best a long shot, and pour tons of money there. The Rethug establishment will pour enough into the district to make it look like they're fighting hard, and in the meantime will snatch the seats needed to go over the bar and take control of the Senate. Take a look at the Senate Map with no tossup races. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/2014_elections_senate_map_no_toss_ups.html

Rethugs 52, Democrats 48. Control of the Senate, firmly in Rethug hands. But we might win in the Virginia 7th, so at least while we're weeping over the loss of the Senate we'll get a condolence award for most improved handwriting or something.

For months now I've been saying the important races, the ones we can't afford to lose, are not the Texas Governorship, no matter how much I like Wendy Davis. It isn't a handful of House districts that even if we win, we won't manage to take control of the House of Representatives. It's the Senate. It's the battle we can't afford to lose. But we're going to lose it distracted by shiny objects and the opportunity to humiliate a Tea Party puke.

I would say that I hope that the DNC national leadership is smart enough to see this, but I don't think so. I think they're going to go all out for the symbolic victory, in an effort to compensate for the historic loss of the second chamber of the Legislative Branch.

One question friends. If we're really winning against the Rethugs, how come we keep giving up things to them? While we're battling tooth and nail for a single House seat, what is happening to our Senate chances? Because last week, the Rethugs were only expected to win 51.

I remain of the same opinion I had months ago. We can not afford to lose the Senate, and everything else, all the other symbolic victories and gee it would be nice if chances are irrelevant. Because even if we won all of those wouldn't it be awesome if opportunities, we would still have a Rethug House and Senate in January.

I know, I'm wasting my electrical energy tapping the keys to post my warnings again. Because so many here are convinced we're popular and the people love us. I just don't want to watch the last two years of President Obama's last term end up in such a state.