Is President Obama operating in a dangerous bubble?

[Blue Meany]

3. I think the war-mongers are operating in a bubble in which the US can

control everything. The is a response to Mailiki's governance; he has run the country as a Shi'i sectarian, marginalizing the Sunnis. It's not that there is a huge rise in Islamists in the Sunni regions; it's that there are not many Sunni soldiers who want to fights for a regime that makes them second-class citizens. ISIS will not easily take over Baghdad, the southern Shi'i cities, or the Kurdish domains, but the Sunnis aren't going to put up a fight. Then, too, there are other groups fighting with ISIS, such as militias led by former Baathists. It is unlikely that ISIS will be able to effectively govern any of the cities they have taken once the in-fighting within the coalition begins.

Obama has rightly conditioned aid on measures to being the Sunnis back into the governing coalition, although it is probably too late for this to work. But the situation is not of Obama's making and he is not in a position to do much to fix it either.