General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: A bit of advice for those who do not want Hillary Clinton to win the nomination [View all]MineralMan
(151,259 posts)As for Elizabeth Warren, I do not believe she will run. Again, my intuition, based on her own statements. If she does run, she will have a very difficult road ahead of her. Yes, she's forward thinking on economic policy, and on some social issues. However, she has some baggage, as well, and has far less name recognition in the general population than you might think. How she does in primaries, should she run, will probably let everyone know that she doesn't have the broad-based support among Democrats that many think she does. Most people, in fact, I believe, know very little about Elizabeth Warren, despite her popularity among some Democrats and other progressives.
I do not think she will run. I do think she will enthusiastically support HRC, though. I think it's entirely possible, in fact, that Hillary Clinton will not have any viable opponents for the Democratic nomination. I do not consider Bernie Sanders to be a viable primary opponent, by the way. Maybe in one or two states, he might pull 25% of the vote in the primary, possibly. Democratic voters are not homogeneous in any way, and the majority vote as though the primaries were a popularity contest. In the general election, most will vote for the party's choice anyhow.
I've been around Presidential politics since JFK's first election. I was just a high school kid then, of course, but was involved then, too. My intuition, as you call it, is based on all of the elections since then. I've voted for every Democrat from 1968 on, and began campaigning for Democrats in 1960. I've followed every primary and general election, and have predicted each of them correctly before the election. 1968 was very difficult to predict up to the Democratic Convention. After the convention, it was clear who the winner would be, sadly.