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In reply to the discussion: Which side do you wish would win in the Scottish election? [View all]LittleBlue
(10,362 posts)Parliament has already promised Scotland incentives to stay, incentives that the rest of the UK don't get. Meaning Scots will get preferential treatment. This will lead to acrimony among the rest of the UK. They will wonder why people who want to leave will get freebies while the rest of them won't.
Meanwhile in Scotland, the elderly will be solely responsible for the union's preservation. The 60+ heavily favor union, all others slightly to heavily favor independence. Every bad decision by parliament will be met with "well, we didn't want to stay anyway". Or "don't worry about it, we'll be gone from the UK in 10 years." Which is a lot different than channeling those energies toward the opposition party. Centrifugal forces will poison the political environment.
So I favor "yes" to avoid the political fallout of a close "no" vote. Unfortunately this means the rUK goes conservative, but there is no way to prevent that now that UKIP is taking over. The only good outcome for unionists today is a strong no vote, which doesn't appear likely if the polls are in any way accurate.
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