General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: How did England get moved so far to the right? [View all]whatthehey
(3,660 posts)These are UK wide data. England is roughly 10 times the population of Scotland so won't be hugely different but will shift. About half the "other" 8% is SNP which we can assume will almost entirely go with Scotland. That UKIP bloc is LIKELY (haven't seen data would like to if anyone can find it) mostly England so will grow a bit even with no more shifts. But the big shift will be Lab-Con. 40 of Lab's 257 MPs are in Scotland - far higher than population ratio. A Scotland-less UK may very well embolden English rightwingers to vote their true feelings rather than support the (to them) wishy-washy Conservatives once Labour is no serious electoral threat, much like Greens in CA have less qualms about risking a Rep takeover. That won't push UKIP to 326 any time soon but I can certainly see them getting seats.