General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Poll puts Sanders on presidential race radar [View all]Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)They're night and day. Clinton continually polled under 50% during much of the 2006-2008 polling - which indicated a majority of Democrats either supported someone else or weren't ready to support yet. Clinton, however, has yet to poll under 50% in any poll since they started gauging the race.
That is huge. It indicates a majority of Democrats TODAY are fine with Hillary being the nominee. That was not the case eight years ago. Eight years ago, there was a majority of Democrats who were already either against Clinton or open to voting someone else.
So, I don't necessarily look at her margins right now and instead focus on where her numbers are, and right now, they're well above 50%. No candidate is going to have any shot at winning the nomination if Clinton's numbers don't dip below 50% and even in 2008, where she lost, on the whole, she only polled above 40% in a handful of polls throughout 2006 and 2007.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwide_opinion_polling_for_the_Democratic_Party_2008_presidential_candidates