General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Poll puts Sanders on presidential race radar [View all]Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)It's not. In 2008, Clinton had far worse numbers than she does today, both in overall support and image. Most Democrats were not supportive of her campaign, as she struggled even hitting the high 40s in most polls, and that was proof enough the inevitable aspect of her campaign was shaky - she did not have a majority of support among Democrats.
That isn't the case now. She does have the support of the Democratic Party. Whereas, eight years ago, you had difficulty finding a poll where she even hit 50% nationally, today you'll have difficulty finding any poll that shows her below 50%. In fact, it's impossible because one doesn't exist.
Not only that, Hillary's numbers are nowhere near 50%.
She's in the mid-to-high 60s in every poll done this past year - except for one and even they had Clinton at 58% nationally.
Hillary's margins are not only massive (she leads her second-closest competitor by nearly 50% - a margin she never touched in 2008), she's even out-polling her own margins by, in some instances, nearly 30 points compared to eight years ago.
Is Hillary beatable? Sure - but it's going to be an extremely though climb for anyone. In 2008, there was evidence that she was extremely vulnerable and that evidence doesn't seem to be shown in any poll for 2016.