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In reply to the discussion: What's most responsible for keeping Democrats home? [View all]LondonReign2
(5,213 posts)33. We deny it because it is a stupid lie
Third time today I've seen you spout this lie. Why is that? (as if the answer isn't obvious).
Did liberals really stay home and cause the 2010 rout?
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2011/08/06/1003805/-Did-liberals-really-stay-home-and-cause-the-2010-rout
So I went back to the exit polls and the picture I see shows nothing like that. If you are a proponent of this claim, I challenge you for empirical proof that some set of activist liberals "took their ball and went home" or whatever metaphor you prefer to make Obama's leftward critics appear childish and immature. Inside, the evidence I found that shows this just ain't so.
http://blogforarizona.net/do-progressives-even-sit-out-elections-the-numbers-say-no/
As you can see, Democrats did slightly better with liberals in 2010 than in 2006. Had there really been a collective were-sitting-out-the-election-to-spite-Obama pout going on, then there should have been a sharp drop in the liberal participation percentage. Yet notice the 9% in moderate voter participation and the concomitant 10% increase in conservative turnout. Republicans were pumped for that election but their turnout tends to be higher in midterms anyway. Millions of moderate voters either flipped to conservative or stayed home in 2010.
As you can see, all the Democratic groups dropped, but the liberal Democrats dropped least of all
http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/progressive-movement/news/2012/11/08/44348/the-return-of-the-obama-coalition/
Ideology. Liberals were 25 percent of voters in 2012, up from 22 percent in 2008. Since 1992 the percent of liberals among presidential voters has varied in a narrow band between 20 percent and 22 percent, so the figure for this year is quite unusual. Conservatives, at 35 percent, were up one point from the 2008 level, but down a massive 7 points since 2010.
Ideology. Obama received less support in 2012 from all ideology groups, though the drop-offs were not particularly sharp in any group. He received 86 percent support from liberals (89 percent in 2008), 56 percent from moderates (60 percent in 2008), and 17 percent from conservatives (20 percent in 2008).
Did liberals really stay home and cause the 2010 rout?
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2011/08/06/1003805/-Did-liberals-really-stay-home-and-cause-the-2010-rout
So I went back to the exit polls and the picture I see shows nothing like that. If you are a proponent of this claim, I challenge you for empirical proof that some set of activist liberals "took their ball and went home" or whatever metaphor you prefer to make Obama's leftward critics appear childish and immature. Inside, the evidence I found that shows this just ain't so.
http://blogforarizona.net/do-progressives-even-sit-out-elections-the-numbers-say-no/
As you can see, Democrats did slightly better with liberals in 2010 than in 2006. Had there really been a collective were-sitting-out-the-election-to-spite-Obama pout going on, then there should have been a sharp drop in the liberal participation percentage. Yet notice the 9% in moderate voter participation and the concomitant 10% increase in conservative turnout. Republicans were pumped for that election but their turnout tends to be higher in midterms anyway. Millions of moderate voters either flipped to conservative or stayed home in 2010.
As you can see, all the Democratic groups dropped, but the liberal Democrats dropped least of all
http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/progressive-movement/news/2012/11/08/44348/the-return-of-the-obama-coalition/
Ideology. Liberals were 25 percent of voters in 2012, up from 22 percent in 2008. Since 1992 the percent of liberals among presidential voters has varied in a narrow band between 20 percent and 22 percent, so the figure for this year is quite unusual. Conservatives, at 35 percent, were up one point from the 2008 level, but down a massive 7 points since 2010.
Ideology. Obama received less support in 2012 from all ideology groups, though the drop-offs were not particularly sharp in any group. He received 86 percent support from liberals (89 percent in 2008), 56 percent from moderates (60 percent in 2008), and 17 percent from conservatives (20 percent in 2008).
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I think it is a mixture of disliking a candidate, the political and nstional environment at the...
hrmjustin
Oct 2014
#3
My guess is a sensed lack of relevance, but in WI the mid-term pattern goes back 60 yrs
HereSince1628
Oct 2014
#13
So, that would make the Republican voters SMARTER than the DEM voters, yes???
blkmusclmachine
Oct 2014
#18
A DEM Establishment that refuses to cater to the DEM base, but is more than happy accommodating the
blkmusclmachine
Oct 2014
#17
It is laugh out loud funny watching the divisive threads just before election time.
Rex
Oct 2014
#20
I'm voting. And everyone else I know has committed to voting. I think all this "why are they staying
blkmusclmachine
Oct 2014
#21
You were the one carping about "progressives" in your other disruptive META OP--don't blame a poster
MADem
Oct 2014
#60
NSA spying, Hillary Clinton, sky rocketing college costs, plumeting wages, poverty,
whereisjustice
Oct 2014
#28
Why would you stay home if you were unhappy with what elected Democrats are doing? That seems like a
Chathamization
Oct 2014
#41
Glen Greenwald, Amy Goodman, Cornell West, People that indict the actions
orpupilofnature57
Oct 2014
#56