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Spider Jerusalem

(21,786 posts)
7. I'm highly sceptical of that.
Mon Oct 13, 2014, 07:53 AM
Oct 2014

You'd need to do polling on a constituency-by-constituency basis; 25% of people say they'll vote Ukip? okay, where are they? How many seats does that translate into? Where are those votes concentrated, and are they taking seats away from the Tories, Labour, or both? The analysis isn't really fine-grained enough to be much use as a predictor.

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