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Lee-Lee

(6,324 posts)

15. Because it worked out ok one other time is not a solid basis for a theory or claim

Reply to morningfog (Original post)

Fri Oct 17, 2014, 06:17 AM

Oct 2014

A sample size of one when determining anything is useless.

One time I saw a person get into a horrific auto accident where the car flipped 4 times after hitting a tree- and the woman walked away. She had a blood alcohol level of .10 and wasn't wearing a seatbelt. Another time I saw a man drive with a .15 and make it 7 miles to his driveway without crashing. I don't go advocate driving drunk based off these accounts, which would be the equivalent of your logic of "these two times people were close to an infected person and were ok, so nobody should worry".

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To put the risk to passengers on Vinson's flight in perspective, consider Patrick Sawyer [View all] morningfog Oct 2014 OP

I think the passengers are extremely low risk LeftInTX Oct 2014 #1

No doubt. This is going to be a long month. morningfog Oct 2014 #3

Hey, you keep that calm rationality out of here! You're robbing people of a good freak-out! arcane1 Oct 2014 #2

A rare post here as of late with a voice of reason thanks lunasun Oct 2014 #4

I, for one, am getting mightily tired SheilaT Oct 2014 #5

Recommended and kicked for reality!!!! HuckleB Oct 2014 #6

A good post, but isn't the problem really the logistics? Yo_Mama Oct 2014 #7

I'd be willing to bet that if this country gets any new Ebola cases... countryjake Oct 2014 #8

I can't help but wonder... SoapBox Oct 2014 #9

But do you get what the OP has said about Patrick Sawyer? countryjake Oct 2014 #10

I read that it was very difficult for them to trace all the people he was in contact with. pnwmom Oct 2014 #13

It was, but they did it. Trackers made 18,000 face-to-face visits. countryjake Oct 2014 #14

We know that he had contact with very few people in the airport. pnwmom Oct 2014 #11

I would be surprised if anyone on either of those flights caught it. Warren DeMontague Oct 2014 #12

Because it worked out ok one other time is not a solid basis for a theory or claim Lee-Lee Oct 2014 #15

These samples, however, are entirely consistent morningfog Oct 2014 #16