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Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Nassim Taleb: Here's What...»Reply #11
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General Discussion

In reply to the discussion: Nassim Taleb: Here's What People Don't Understand About Ebola [View all]

MattBaggins

(7,948 posts)
11. Did you know tha given E. coli's reproduction time it could reach a mass
Reply to Warren DeMontague (Original post)
Tue Oct 21, 2014, 03:26 AM
Oct 2014

the size of the earth in 48 hours.

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Nassim Taleb: Here's What People Don't Understand About Ebola [View all] Warren DeMontague Oct 2014 OP
But the people who shared the apartment with Duncan, the first Ebola victim, didn't catch the Louisiana1976 Oct 2014 #1
The point is we have to nip it in the bud early on, because the infected can increase exponentially nomorenomore08 Oct 2014 #2
This is true. And good news, absolutely. Warren DeMontague Oct 2014 #3
The only thing that has ever controlled outbreaks is the "jump on it" bit. Yo_Mama Oct 2014 #6
When Liberia had their first case in April, 2014, the CDC's response was very much the same as it pnwmom Oct 2014 #9
It's not reassuring. Warren DeMontague Oct 2014 #12
+1 nt laundry_queen Oct 2014 #15
So what? Two other people caught it from him. Until we know that the chain is completely broken, pnwmom Oct 2014 #8
I think odds are pretty good they managed to stop it at the 2 nurses. Warren DeMontague Oct 2014 #25
Most Americans read at a 5th grade level and do math at 3rd grade level. kestrel91316 Oct 2014 #4
Indeed. Warren DeMontague Oct 2014 #5
Along with the fact that in all of the U.S. States, the highest paid State Officials are... Hugin Oct 2014 #14
Bread and circuses. kestrel91316 Oct 2014 #16
Most people have no idea things like "the rule of 72" used to estimate doubling time HereSince1628 Oct 2014 #27
He is correct. bemildred Oct 2014 #7
#2) True- which is not to say "evolving to airborne transmission" is particularly likely. Warren DeMontague Oct 2014 #17
A messy subject, transmission of Ebola. bemildred Oct 2014 #18
Exactly.. sendero Oct 2014 #26
k&r nt bananas Oct 2014 #10
Did you know tha given E. coli's reproduction time it could reach a mass MattBaggins Oct 2014 #11
Ahhhh, just train it to ferment Warren DeMontague Oct 2014 #13
I still continue to believe that we need to find that place between KMOD Oct 2014 #19
I agree with all that you've said, here. Warren DeMontague Oct 2014 #20
That is true of any disease with a R0 above 1. NutmegYankee Oct 2014 #21
Sure. But combine that with a lethality rate of about 70%, and there's a problem. Warren DeMontague Oct 2014 #22
With proper procedure and protocals, you can easily drop the R0 below 1. NutmegYankee Oct 2014 #23
I think it's doable, too. Warren DeMontague Oct 2014 #24
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Nassim Taleb: Here's What...»Reply #11
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