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Warren DeMontague

(80,708 posts)

20. I agree with all that you've said, here.

Reply to KMOD (Reply #19)

Tue Oct 21, 2014, 11:03 PM

Oct 2014

I think having small clusters of cases here, and attendant freakouts, watch and wait lists, and overreactions, is bound to be a distraction from where the major tragedy is.

Which is why it's all the more important we do all we can to keep additional cases from coming to the US... Keeping the virus out and fighting it over there are not mutually exclusive.

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Nassim Taleb: Here's What People Don't Understand About Ebola [View all] Warren DeMontague Oct 2014 OP

But the people who shared the apartment with Duncan, the first Ebola victim, didn't catch the Louisiana1976 Oct 2014 #1

The point is we have to nip it in the bud early on, because the infected can increase exponentially nomorenomore08 Oct 2014 #2

This is true. And good news, absolutely. Warren DeMontague Oct 2014 #3

The only thing that has ever controlled outbreaks is the "jump on it" bit. Yo_Mama Oct 2014 #6

When Liberia had their first case in April, 2014, the CDC's response was very much the same as it pnwmom Oct 2014 #9

It's not reassuring. Warren DeMontague Oct 2014 #12

+1 nt laundry_queen Oct 2014 #15

So what? Two other people caught it from him. Until we know that the chain is completely broken, pnwmom Oct 2014 #8

I think odds are pretty good they managed to stop it at the 2 nurses. Warren DeMontague Oct 2014 #25

Most Americans read at a 5th grade level and do math at 3rd grade level. kestrel91316 Oct 2014 #4

Indeed. Warren DeMontague Oct 2014 #5

Along with the fact that in all of the U.S. States, the highest paid State Officials are... Hugin Oct 2014 #14

Bread and circuses. kestrel91316 Oct 2014 #16

Most people have no idea things like "the rule of 72" used to estimate doubling time HereSince1628 Oct 2014 #27

He is correct. bemildred Oct 2014 #7

#2) True- which is not to say "evolving to airborne transmission" is particularly likely. Warren DeMontague Oct 2014 #17

A messy subject, transmission of Ebola. bemildred Oct 2014 #18

Exactly.. sendero Oct 2014 #26

k&r nt bananas Oct 2014 #10

Did you know tha given E. coli's reproduction time it could reach a mass MattBaggins Oct 2014 #11

Ahhhh, just train it to ferment Warren DeMontague Oct 2014 #13

I still continue to believe that we need to find that place between KMOD Oct 2014 #19

I agree with all that you've said, here. Warren DeMontague Oct 2014 #20

That is true of any disease with a R0 above 1. NutmegYankee Oct 2014 #21

Sure. But combine that with a lethality rate of about 70%, and there's a problem. Warren DeMontague Oct 2014 #22

With proper procedure and protocals, you can easily drop the R0 below 1. NutmegYankee Oct 2014 #23

I think it's doable, too. Warren DeMontague Oct 2014 #24