MSNBC: polls now showing GOP winning big in Colorado & Arkansas? What's going on???

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8. Do they have early voting? Are Democrats voting earlier than Republicans?

I voted early - on the second day of early voting here in Florida. Suddenly the number of polling calls I had been getting dropped to almost nothing. The week before I got five polling calls. Last week I got one. My husband got one Monday and when he said he'd already voted the pollster apologized and asked no more questions.

The end of last week the Supervisor of Elections in our heavily Democratic county announced that turnout for early voting is very heavy - much higher that it was in the last midterm election for the same period of early voting. Maybe it helps that he increased the early polling locations from four to seven, but he was impressed at the higher turnout. I think the Gwen Graham campaign is really working hard at GOTV and it's working!

My point is that if the early voters are not included in the polls, and if the early voters are predominately Democrats, that would skew the poll numbers to Republican voter preferences.