So, will Oregon or Alaska legalize marijuana next week?

[Comrade Grumpy]

5. I think Oregon has better shot than Alaska, but don't forget DC, either!

DC will definitely vote to legalize marijuana possession and cultivation next Tuesday. It can't tax and regulate through the initiative process, so that part will be up to the city council. There is already a bill in process.

Oregon is likely to pass. It has led in polls through-out, and even though it's under 50% in some polls now, it's still leading. It's going to come down to GOTV and how the undecideds break.

Alaska is a little iffier. The polls there have had wild swings, but I still think Alaska has a chance.

This is a bad year to run legalization initiatives, given the mood of the electorate, so any victories we can pull off will be all the more impressive.