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Samantha

(9,314 posts)
46. Last evening on MSNBC, it was announced Hogan has pulled ahead of Brown by 5 points in Maryland's
Fri Oct 31, 2014, 09:25 AM
Oct 2014

Governor's race. Maryland is a deep, blue state. Brown has consistently been polling ahead of Hogan by about 9 points (some pollsters have given him a better margin). I sat there in a moment of shock, thinking about Hogan's stance on assault rifles. He thinks it is okay for citizens to have them and supports open carry laws, no background checks. And that is just one of his demented stances on issues. He even refuses to support removing rights to buy guns and carry them for people on the government's suspected terrorist list. Need one say more?

I was very depressed after hearing this until I remembered Hogan's campaign had announced this as a result of a poll it had conducted. I also remembered one other thing: Republicans chronically lie. If enough people think the election is already cooked, they won't bother to vote.

I can't think of any reason why the tide would have changed a minimum of 15 points in just a few days from Brown to Hogan. Additionally, none of the major pollsters are showing this result.

I think there is a lot of exaggeration going on by Republicans to depress the electorate. It is always a goal of theirs to increase the misery index upon the population and convince the people the problems are always Obama's fault. They cannot win through developing good ideas the people like, so they resort to a myriad of underhanded maneuvers.

If my analysis is wrong and Hogan does actually take Maryland, you guys might not hear from me for the next four years because what I would have to say would not be banned on DU.

Sam

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"Issues & Answers Network"? Dawson Leery Oct 2014 #1
Don't believe anything you see on corporate media. Just vote. OffWithTheirHeads Oct 2014 #2
Of course I'm going to vote; nothing will deter me napkinz Oct 2014 #3
Arkansas has not been close for a while HERVEPA Oct 2014 #4
and Colorado has been trending toward Gardner for quite a while. cali Oct 2014 #6
both states were listed as ties just a few days ago napkinz Oct 2014 #7
A tie in one poll doesn't mean anything. Must aggregate polls. HERVEPA Oct 2014 #28
It's not much of a shift, been that way for about a month madville Oct 2014 #29
Cotton scares the hell out of me. RoverSuswade Oct 2014 #31
The Arkansas opinion polls are all over the place Art_from_Ark Oct 2014 #19
24 hr news.. that's all they got sailfla Oct 2014 #5
Do they have early voting? Are Democrats voting earlier than Republicans? csziggy Oct 2014 #8
MSNBC provided the numbers early this afternoon without analysis or commentary napkinz Oct 2014 #9
What is to explain? Demsrule86 Oct 2014 #11
I heard that in Colorado YarnAddict Oct 2014 #53
I don't buy it. Demsrule86 Oct 2014 #10
PPP Robbins Oct 2014 #12
Two states with poor polling in the past. nt Ykcutnek Oct 2014 #13
I think it was a Quinnipiac poll napkinz Oct 2014 #15
Lying, cheating and stealing. Atman Oct 2014 #14
Undecided voters are making up their minds. nt hack89 Oct 2014 #16
This may have something to do with the gun control laws pushed through GGJohn Oct 2014 #17
May? MAY? beevul Oct 2014 #52
We abused their trust LittleBlue Oct 2014 #18
There has been hope and change: Jamaal510 Oct 2014 #25
Those are just doctored and/or cherry picked numbers LittleBlue Oct 2014 #27
perception is reality strawberries Oct 2014 #43
The M$M has a bias toward the GOP, in a way they are the GOPs biggest supporter. Rex Oct 2014 #20
Probably likely voters called in the gerrymandered districts. shraby Oct 2014 #21
How do you gerrymander a statewide Senate seat? nt kelly1mm Oct 2014 #39
Polls can't be trusted and they always seem to favor the Repubs in close races just Cleita Oct 2014 #22
of course I'm voting ... napkinz Oct 2014 #24
Wish it weren't the case, but in close elections... Eleanors38 Oct 2014 #41
Ebola is what happened. nt woolldog Oct 2014 #23
Ebola will cause people to vote for the party that is against public healthcare? FSogol Oct 2014 #48
Final Gallup Poll in 2012.. Just sayin'.. Cha Oct 2014 #26
Gallup was a total outlier and anyone following things knew it was garbage. HERVEPA Oct 2014 #30
Yeah, Just Sayin' GOTV.. It's a Ground Game! Good LUCK to Sens Mark Pryor and Mark Udall! Cha Oct 2014 #32
Yes. I agree for sure. GOTV. HERVEPA Oct 2014 #38
So, your message is - believe these polls, because they are not outliers like Gallup was? Trajan Oct 2014 #34
Good Grief. Gallup was the main outlier. HERVEPA Oct 2014 #37
Guns otohara Oct 2014 #33
It's still tight. madamesilverspurs Oct 2014 #35
Daughter in Colorado says massive fear campaign marlakay Oct 2014 #36
I don't know ellie Oct 2014 #45
My daughter is listed as independent marlakay Oct 2014 #47
The next time they call ellie Oct 2014 #50
PPP Polls kaiserhog Oct 2014 #40
Repubs getting their mail-in ballots earlier than Dems. librechik Oct 2014 #42
Lots of transplants here in the last 2-3yrs.. ..... Hotler Oct 2014 #44
Last evening on MSNBC, it was announced Hogan has pulled ahead of Brown by 5 points in Maryland's Samantha Oct 2014 #46
MSNBC is unbelieveably using Real Clear Politics thevoiceofreason Oct 2014 #49
I think Colorado is too close to call. kentuck Oct 2014 #51
Doesn't help that the biggest newspapers in their states went Republican. alp227 Oct 2014 #54
Polls TSIAS Oct 2014 #55
No black people there and mostly rich, bigots. nt kelliekat44 Oct 2014 #56
My guess: backlash to legalized pot Algernon Moncrieff Oct 2014 #57
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