Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search
 

Kelvin Mace

(17,469 posts)
148. Let me take these one at a time
Tue Nov 4, 2014, 11:52 AM
Nov 2014
Some precincts recording a larger number of undervotes, particularly in important races and located geographically in selected locations. For example, why would someone in a majority registered Democratic precinct vote for dog catcher or local magistrate and NOT vote for the Senate candidate? Undervotes might be 2-4% and jump to 8-10% on given machines in certain locations and races. No weird undervotes seem to occur where ballots are mailed or in some early voting locations. I interpret that as likely hacking where a formula was introduced to the programming. What is your explanation?

In the few cases that I could get exit poll or parallel voting data, we also see some strange patterns in selected races (some state office, some national). An example would be a school tax referendum in a Democratic district that passes easily while the GOP candidate for state office narrowly wins. Again, the strange results are often overlooked or buried in a large ballot, but difficult to explain unless a subset of machines or tabulators were manipulated.


Well, certainly I would have called for an audit of these machines. But here's the thing, if this happened in 2004 then there was, to my knowledge, no laws on the books governing such circumstances. TS systems were introduced with very little thought about the ramifications of the technology on the voting process. That by itself can result in lots of problems, unforeseen problems that while troubling, are not necessarily evidence of chicanery. Election boards started buying computerized voting system while not adding computer techs to their staff (they pretty much depended on the vendors to provide support and training). Undervotes could be the result of tampering, but a more likely explanation is a defective/improperly calibrated machine, or voter unfamiliarity with how the machine worked. Again, if memory serves, 2004 would have been the first presidential election following the 2000 fiasco when there was a mad dash to buy these machine to replace the very confusing and unreliable "punch ballots". When you rush to deploy tens of thousands of votings machines, and then rush to train tens of thousands of poll workers, then dump the whole new system in the lap of millions of voters (many in the 60+ non-techie age demographic) problems are going to occur.

As I explained to election officials when we were debating new laws governing these machines in NC in 2005, new machines require new rules and procedures to insure accurate results. The problem with digital voting is that honest errors can be indistinguishable from malicious intent, and that unless you were very careful, people would assume the latter (the law we passed in 2005 was called "The Public Confidence in Elections Act&quot .

How would you catch programmer manipulation in the cases that code was altered in such a way that did not show on screen?

Well, most states now have laws on the books requiring code be certified by the state before the election. Since these laws didn't exist in 2004, there was no mechanism to investigate these kinds of anomalies. Here is the law in NC that I helped write in 2005:

§ 163-165.9A. Voting systems: requirements for voting systems vendors; penalties.

(1) The vendor shall place in escrow with an independent escrow agent approved by the State Board of Elections all software that is relevant to functionality, setup, configuration, and operation of the voting system, including, but not limited to, a complete copy of the source and executable code, build scripts, object libraries, application program interfaces, and complete documentation of all aspects of the system including, but not limited to, compiling instructions, design documentation, technical documentation, user documentation, hardware and software specifications, drawings, records, and data. The State Board of Elections may require in its request for proposal that additional items be escrowed, and if any vendor that agrees in a contract to escrow additional items, those items shall be subject to the provisions of this section. The documentation shall include a list of programmers responsible for creating the software and a sworn affidavit that the source code includes all relevant program statements in low-level and high-level languages.

(2) The vendor shall notify the State Board of Elections of any change in any item required to be escrowed by subdivision (1) of this subsection.

(3) The chief executive officer of the vendor shall sign a sworn affidavit that the source code and other material in escrow is the same being used in its voting systems in this State. The chief executive officer shall ensure that the statement is true on a continuing basis.

(4) The vendor shall promptly notify the State Board of Elections and the county board of elections of any county using its voting system of any decertification of the same system in any state, of any defect in the same system known to have occurred anywhere, and of any relevant defect known to have occurred in similar systems.

(5) The vendor shall maintain an office in North Carolina with staff to service the contract.

(b) Penalties. - Willful violation of any of the duties in subsection (a) of this section is a Class G felony. Substitution of source code into an operating voting system without notification as provided by subdivision (a)(2) of this section is a Class I felony. In addition to any other applicable penalties, violations of this section are subject to a civil penalty to be assessed by the State Board of Elections in its discretion in an amount of up to one hundred thousand dollars ($100,000) per violation. A civil penalty assessed under this section shall be subject to the provisions of G.S. 163-278.34(e)."

As you can see we tried to cover all possible contingencies brought about by using TS and computer-based voting machines. We created a mechanism for examining the code before the election and made it a crime to change the code after it was certified. We even made the CEO the guy who would go to jail if something went wrong. Was it effective? Well, Diebold left the state rather than comply with the law, and then sold its voting machine business 4 years later. I would call that a win.

As I keep repeating to folks who are worried about rogue programmers diddling voting machines, with the changes in the law since 2004 it is very dangerous to try since mechanisms are now in place in most states to catch such tampering. If I am a crooked election official, far easier to simply reduce the number of available voting machines and spares in minority precincts, thus creating long lines and causing voters to leave without voting (which is what I suspect happened in Ohio in 2004) than it is to find someone with the expertise needed to rig a voting machine. It is next to impossible to prove criminal intent in how many voting machines are deployed, but getting caught with hinky code in a voting machine means the FBI in your office.

I would say that most of the possible manipulations occur in districts where voter suppression would be quite difficult because of the demographic stability. Also, I don't see such patterns in every race - just selected ones. We've seen all kinds of tricks here in addition to voter registration manipulation, ID requirements, and suppression tactics. Mail ballots tossed, signature checking games, and ballot design.

And all these tricks are easier and less trouble than trying to introduce "cheating code" to voting machines. If the machines are audited, the numbers will not add up, plus exit polling can spot weird variances. Again suppression is more effective and arguably semi-legal.

BTW, we've complained that machines were stored in unsecured locations, not tested, etc. Depending on the ES it's hard to get cooperation for observers and security. Some of our ES's and Secretary of State are openly repubs. Remember Katherine Harris?

Still can be a problem, but again, many states now have laws addressing this.

So, to summarize your main questions:

Can people rig a voting machine to cheat? Yes. Is it easy? Not as easy as many people think, and nowhere as easy as it might have once been now that many states look at the code. Did cheating happen in the past? Possibly. Although I have seen suspicious numbers, I have seen no conclusive evidence. Is it happening now? Highly unlikely, since you are far more likely to get caught if you try and there are safer ways to influence an election that don't involve a federal prison stay.
I think Rove and Co realized the Ohio 2004 tactics can only steal so many votes and to randys1 Nov 2014 #1
Yep, they stole the election in 2004 RobertEarl Nov 2014 #9
I greatly resent the accusation of Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #22
Dont ever dis Kelvin about voting backwoodsbob Nov 2014 #27
+1 cali Nov 2014 #146
-2 RobertEarl Nov 2014 #172
Not sure the motive of the OP but today we talk about GOTV and then we watch for vote stealing randys1 Nov 2014 #30
Exactly right RobertEarl Nov 2014 #40
I am sorry, no Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #79
Eh? RobertEarl Nov 2014 #125
He's not saying,in any way, that computers can't be hacked. SharonAnn Nov 2014 #130
Again, no, I have NEVER said computers cannot be hacked Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #143
You have been a tireless advocate of fair elections Generic Other Nov 2014 #203
Thank you for the kind words Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #205
fearless repubs aspirant Nov 2014 #181
My point is to concetrate on GOTV Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #78
GOTV GOTV randys1 Nov 2014 #152
Why are you here? hunter Nov 2014 #89
Show up and vote Aerows Nov 2014 #33
VOTE VOTE VOTE, take someone to the polls, please! YES YES YES randys1 Nov 2014 #39
+1000 valerief Nov 2014 #77
Then it's really piss poor calibration. hobbit709 Nov 2014 #2
These machines are over ten-twelve years old Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #4
With all due respect watoos Nov 2014 #50
Again, Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #70
Thank you for your efforts to clarify all of this. sybylla Nov 2014 #159
And folks seem to think that Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #161
I've worked on a touch screen from about 12 years ago Thav Nov 2014 #144
What I don't understand Mnpaul Nov 2014 #58
Please consider the logistics Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #72
Is ES&S still using MS Access on these machines? IDemo Nov 2014 #94
Last I looked, yes, though they Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #99
What if the audits weren't really random? FiveGoodMen Nov 2014 #176
I have been programming touchscreen operator interfaces for over 20 years and after initial.... yourout Nov 2014 #107
OK, sorry, but having played with these machines Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #112
Does the machine print the hardcopy where the user can see the printout of the vote? yourout Nov 2014 #113
If I can control what is on the display, I can control what is on the printer Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #114
Do they hand audit the Paper tape vs the electronic results? yourout Nov 2014 #116
The voter is supposed to compare what is on the screen with what is on the printer Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #119
This is the one factor that stands out to me IDemo Nov 2014 #117
Absolutely Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #121
Not meant as snark or opposition, but just curiousity... TinkerTot55 Nov 2014 #153
Last time I looked I saw Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #154
Yet another point I made and got slammed for. n/t Ms. Toad Nov 2014 #186
And if your clients used them only twice a year, how well do you think they would work? n/t eridani Nov 2014 #128
I have a touchscreen computer, also Warpy Nov 2014 #7
Actually scanning the news Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #20
?? One 2008 story of R to D switch, vs. several in each election of D to R switch. nt tblue37 Nov 2014 #28
Here is what I just pulled from the news Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #73
"claiming this evidence of fraud discourages people from voting at a time where we need every damn FSogol Nov 2014 #3
Well said. . . Journeyman Nov 2014 #5
Glad someone still remembers the Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #14
Message auto-removed Name removed Nov 2014 #6
"Edwards wanted a recount and we all know what was done to him" demwing Nov 2014 #8
Well, that one didn't last long.... panader0 Nov 2014 #11
Message auto-removed Name removed Nov 2014 #49
*Sigh* Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #12
True: Why flip 1 out of 20 votes or whatever, if you can simply... Beartracks Nov 2014 #25
Precisely Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #26
Glad to see you here backwoodsbob Nov 2014 #29
Thank you for the kind remark Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #76
Excellent - That Answered My Question Leith Nov 2014 #36
The funny thing was Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #80
Dang Leith Nov 2014 #111
machines make $$ for corporations. go back to hand paper and stop all this BS nt msongs Nov 2014 #10
You cannot count Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #16
My favorite would be for a special election for offices that wind up in DC SoCalDem Nov 2014 #131
Well, the problem is Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #141
I also read that 70% of votes in this election are on paper due to old machines which have fallen PeaceNikki Nov 2014 #13
Not completely accurate Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #17
I don't want to go back to paper I want to go back to people. zeemike Nov 2014 #47
I actually like our "everybody votes by mail" system. Liberal Veteran Nov 2014 #51
And then you run it through a scanning computer to get the count. zeemike Nov 2014 #54
And we get a decent voter turnout. And there IS a paper trail. Liberal Veteran Nov 2014 #56
People have optical scanners right in their head. zeemike Nov 2014 #60
Logistically...vote by mail works fine. Liberal Veteran Nov 2014 #62
Well how about this. zeemike Nov 2014 #65
It would be almost as easy (and certainly faster) to have three different companies scanning. Liberal Veteran Nov 2014 #69
Vote by mail is my preference Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #100
Sorry, but I must repectfully disagree Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #75
And I I must respectfully disagree zeemike Nov 2014 #96
I have certainly not said Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #98
Well I know it will not change...and no one will purpose an amendment to change it. zeemike Nov 2014 #105
You know what? Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #106
The problem is, the ballots are too complicated Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #68
People can't accurately count complex ballots over long periods of time eridani Nov 2014 #129
this is what we have in NENC ... littlewolf Nov 2014 #48
That system was great, unless the punchcard misfed Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #101
I agree ... Opscan is better, at the time that punch card system littlewolf Nov 2014 #127
The Florida system Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #142
It is accurate in that the votes are cast ON paper. PeaceNikki Nov 2014 #57
Absolutely, and there MUST Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #67
It's the law here in Wisconsin, too. PeaceNikki Nov 2014 #71
Paper with OpScan was found to be quite accurate Mnpaul Nov 2014 #61
What I meant was that it wasn't accurate Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #66
Ahhh. Someone who knows what they're talking about. A delicious rarity. SunSeeker Nov 2014 #15
You are welcome Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #18
I hope you don't. DeadLetterOffice Nov 2014 #21
Hell, you're one of the good guys! nc4bo Nov 2014 #63
This is the problem with politicians Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #64
K&R Go Vols Nov 2014 #19
Thank you. GeorgeGist Nov 2014 #23
A breath of logical, fresh air. Butterbean Nov 2014 #24
And really, if you were going to flip votes through software, would you make it visible? Liberal Veteran Nov 2014 #31
Precisely!!! Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #81
Not with a paper trail you wouldn't. yourout Nov 2014 #109
Again, Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #122
Last question....are there audits to compare paper tape to electronic totals? yourout Nov 2014 #124
Yes, the law requires random audits that compare Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #145
Diebold changed its name in 2007 to Premier Election Solutions 99th_Monkey Nov 2014 #32
I don't recall one reported instance of "D"s flipping to "R"s. MEA CULPA! I MEANT: R to D!!!!!!!!!!! WinkyDink Nov 2014 #34
Easily found. onenote Nov 2014 #43
Google is your friend Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #82
Really? I never got a birthday card! WinkyDink Nov 2014 #132
Well, Google is rather busy Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #140
All points well taken here. However this is about our elections, no room for failure of any kind. YOHABLO Nov 2014 #35
We have limited resources Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #83
Somebody had to stop mstinamotorcity2 Nov 2014 #37
Thank you for the work you have done, Kelvin. Dont call me Shirley Nov 2014 #38
- Takket Nov 2014 #41
I really didn't mind all the effort fighting Diebold Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #84
So it is not fraud but a poorly calibrated touch screen. zeemike Nov 2014 #42
And it's happening to the Republicans too is the issue he's raising Savannahmann Nov 2014 #52
The more complicated the system is the more chances there are to game it. zeemike Nov 2014 #55
Absoutely true Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #87
Well for one thing it don't matter if they show it. zeemike Nov 2014 #93
Occam's Razor Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #86
And our politicians will say nothing and we will do nothing to change it... nc4bo Nov 2014 #59
When we were fighting against paperless ballots Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #92
Um... no Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #85
And never let incompetence be a cover for treachery. zeemike Nov 2014 #91
One more time Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #97
And you can always find a way to make a conspiracy not make sense. zeemike Nov 2014 #102
Actually everyone knows how Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #104
Yes I know...I knew a pro gambler zeemike Nov 2014 #110
complete truth aspirant Nov 2014 #184
The legal margin of victory is either a plurality Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #193
As an IT/repair person, I greatly admire your work and perseverance for accuracy in our.. BlueJazz Nov 2014 #44
I am just a jackleg database programmer, Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #88
Who is Bev Harris? Helen Borg Nov 2014 #45
Gosh that is a question Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #90
Thanks. Helen Borg Nov 2014 #133
That, I have no idea Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #139
Oh, I had not realized that... Helen Borg Nov 2014 #147
Du rec and kick! n/t zappaman Nov 2014 #46
Kevin, this native North Carolinian wants to say a big thank you for all you've done. ladyVet Nov 2014 #53
Thank you Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #74
Absolutely agree with this. The widespread fears of vote-flipping are CTs at their worst. randome Nov 2014 #95
I wrote this back in 2006 Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #103
Great thread (and OP). At the risk of opening a can of worms or ripping off a scab, do KingCharlemagne Nov 2014 #108
There were suspicious numbers Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #115
Good points all. People in Ohio waited in line for hours and hours to vote in some KingCharlemagne Nov 2014 #118
I am wary of consiracies as explanations, Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #120
Bravo! As long as we acknowledge that there are occasional conspiracies in history -- the KingCharlemagne Nov 2014 #123
Yes, they do exist Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #138
Yup. Proving intent is always very tricky... Helen Borg Nov 2014 #134
That you will get no argument from me Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #137
The obvious question-why did they skip 2008 and 2012? maced666 Nov 2014 #126
Well, you know Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #150
What are the facts at the links of "R" flipping to "D" provided by the OP, (SEE POST # 82)? WinkyDink Nov 2014 #135
And this, to me, as a computer tech Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #149
I've seen issues in Florida that are different than you describe, but may be manipulation. Sancho Nov 2014 #136
Let me take these one at a time Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #148
Thanks...hmmmm.... Sancho Nov 2014 #157
Thanks for the clarification Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #160
I agree we need better laws... Sancho Nov 2014 #162
But it can be done Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #163
Thanks for Duval Nov 2014 #151
I believe that only Guilford and Mecklenberg Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #155
Kelvin, I just found this Duval Nov 2014 #156
Thanks Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #158
If not for you and your wife Duval Nov 2014 #164
Here's the breakdown by county: marions ghost Nov 2014 #195
Thank you Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #196
It looks to me like they are phasing them out marions ghost Nov 2014 #201
They are not popular because they cause problems Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #204
The country lost big money on that swindle.... marions ghost Nov 2014 #207
When recalibration isn't the solution Fly by night Nov 2014 #165
And you will get no argument from me on that Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #166
I was 2 years later to this dance ... Fly by night Nov 2014 #167
You will never sell them on hand-counting Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #168
If I'm serious about voting reforms ...? Fly by night Nov 2014 #180
national expert? aspirant Nov 2014 #187
Go back and read what I said Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #188
That's like saying raising awareness about cancer discourages doctor visits. True Blue Door Nov 2014 #169
No, claiming all the doctors are secretly Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #170
How does it fail basic logic? True Blue Door Nov 2014 #171
Again, I have expained this about five times in this thread, but here goes number six Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #173
There is some logic to what you say. True Blue Door Nov 2014 #174
When I pursued this issue Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #175
Fair enough, but it won't do to be complacent about any angle. True Blue Door Nov 2014 #178
Certainly true, Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #179
The Testimony of a Programmer fredamae Nov 2014 #177
This would be the guy who claimed he rigged Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #190
I so agree that voter suppression is real and is growing. deminks Nov 2014 #182
True Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #191
I don't know. I would love to believe this, but I will never forget the 2004 election. Vinca Nov 2014 #183
If I had to make a stab at why we lost Ohio Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #189
I don't recall vote flipping on the actual voting machine as being the issue. Vinca Nov 2014 #197
Again, as long as there is no paper Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #198
It makes you wonder why the machines and software aren't allowed to be examined by the citizenry. Vinca Nov 2014 #199
Again, some states permit/require it Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #200
Thank you for saying what I got lambasted for saying a couple of weeks ago. Ms. Toad Nov 2014 #185
To those who insist there's still a real conspiracy here... brooklynite Nov 2014 #192
And a little actual evidence Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #194
I am against electronic counting for reasons not yet expressed. Half-Century Man Nov 2014 #202
I would have to see some empirical evidence of that Kelvin Mace Nov 2014 #206
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»The reality about "v...»Reply #148