Which potential candidate would have the greatest probability of success in 016

[MineralMan]

15. My realistic prediction for Bernie Sanders is that he

will do slightly better than Dennis Kucinich in the primaries, assuming he runs as a Democrat. Since the primaries here in Minnesota are quite late in the year, I doubt he will appear on our ballot. If he does, I will vote for him, but I expect that he will have withdrawn before our primary ballot is set.

Exactly how Hillary Clinton campaigns is still up in the air, I think. I think, however, that she will have strong endorsements by everyone who people are talking about as possible candidates, including Bernie Sanders. She'll also be strongly endorsed by President Obama, I'm sure.

It's still very early, so I'm not certain how this will all go, but I find it very difficult to envision anyone but Hillary Clinton as the Democratic nominee. I just don't see a path to the actual nomination for any of the names being mentioned. One person I'm almost certain won't run is Elizabeth Warren. She's a realist about her chances, I'm sure, and I think that she'll be championing Hillary throughout the race.

One last thing about Warren: If by some weird chance she got the nomination, many of the people who are trying to build up support for her will be criticizing her background by election day. Her years as a Reagan Republican will come back to haunt her and the switch from support to criticism will tell us a great deal about the people who are supporting her now but who will withdraw that support if she actual got the nomination. However, I do not believe that is even a remote possibility and that she will not run in the first place.

Those are my predictions at this point, from the perspective of an amateur political commentator. They are worth whatever anyone thinks they are worth.